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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Imamura vs Staeheli 2:0: result and our tips

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Masamichi ImamuraATP #433Elo 1474hard 1477
2:0final6:2 6:3
Luca StaeheliATP #430Elo 1646hard 1617

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Imamura 17 of 20, Staeheli 14 of 20 (tour average 66%); Imamura: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: StaeheliLost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Imamura lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Set Betting: Staeheli 2-0Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Imamura lost 0-2 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Staeheli won 2-0 in 8 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Masamichi Imamura38%
Luca Staeheli62%

Elo: M. Imamura 31% · L. Staeheli 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Imamura22%
2:1 M. Imamura16%
2:1 L. Staeheli22%
2:0 L. Staeheli40%

First set

Masamichi Imamura42%
Luca Staeheli59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,921 matches

Games handicap

L. Staeheli −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Masamichi ImamuraLuca Staeheli
0Aces4
0Double faults5
68%First serves in63%
80%First-serve points won67%
64%Second-serve points won30%
4/9Break points converted0/2
8/8Service games held5/9
75%Service points won53%
47%Return points won25%
62Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ImamuraTourL. Staeheli
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won39%38%42%
Service games held72%76%76%
Breaks of serve27%24%33%
Aces per service game0.210.36
Double faults per game0.160.32
Sets with a tie-break9%11%
Tie-breaks won6/110/7
Wins in straight sets76%53%
Matches in the sample5128

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Masamichi Imamura

Luca Staeheli

  • 30/09/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Columbus · R163:6 6:7
  • 29/09/26WOliver Okonkwo#963Challenger Columbus · R326:7 6:4 6:1
  • 28/09/26WAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Columbus · Q24:6 6:3 6:3
  • 27/09/26WBruno Kuzuhara#722Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:2
  • 20/09/26LErik Arutiunian#573Challenger San Diego 2 · Q14:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger Tiburon · R325:7 2:6
  • 14/09/26WRoger Pascual Ferra#690Challenger Tiburon · Q24:6 6:2 6:3
  • 13/09/26WMaxwell Exsted#888Challenger Tiburon · Q14:6 6:4 6:3
  • 19/08/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#251Challenger Sion · R163:6 1:1
  • 18/08/26WAndrey Chepelev#364Challenger Sion · R326:3 6:1

Elo over the last year

Masamichi ImamuraLuca Staeheli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ImamuraL. Staeheli
Hard court25–2649%5–456%
Clay0–012–763%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.