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Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Erel vs Chen 2:0: result and our tips

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Yanki ErelATP #286Elo 1727hard 1730
2:0final6:4 6:4
Yan Cheng ChenATP #952Elo 1351hard 1350

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yanki Erel96%
Yan Cheng Chen4%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Erel82%
2:1 Y. Erel13%
2:1 Y. Chen2%
2:0 Y. Chen3%

First set

Yanki Erel88%
Yan Cheng Chen12%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes15%
no85%

Total games

Expected total: 19.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.586%14%97%
15.575%25%94%
16.563%37%88%
17.552%48%80%
18.542%58%71%
19.534%66%63%
20.527%73%55%

Sample: 1,031 matches

Games handicap

Y. Erel −6.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 17.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Yanki ErelYan Cheng Chen
3Aces5
2Double faults5
67%First serves in66%
79%First-serve points won76%
58%Second-serve points won38%
2/7Break points converted0/1
10/10Service games held8/10
72%Service points won63%
37%Return points won28%
64Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. ErelTourY. Chen
Service points won64%62%—
Return points won38%38%—
Service games held81%76%—
Breaks of serve24%24%—
Aces per service game0.36—
Double faults per game0.25—
Sets with a tie-break20%—
Tie-breaks won8/12—
Wins in straight sets69%—
Matches in the sample26—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yanki Erel

  • 03/10/26LMattia Bellucci#66Challenger Jingshan · SF4:6 4:6
  • 02/10/26WFederico Cina#142Challenger Jingshan · QF7:5 7:6
  • 01/10/26WMichael Zheng#101Challenger Jingshan · R166:1 7:6
  • 29/09/26WArthur Weber#398Challenger Jingshan · R326:4 6:2
  • 11/09/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF6:3 4:6 3:6
  • 10/09/26WRadu Albot#561Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:4 6:2
  • 08/09/26WTimofey Skatov#200Challenger Istanbul 3 · R327:6 6:4
  • 06/08/26LGijs Brouwer#835Challenger Istanbul 2 · R161:4
  • 04/08/26WDenis Yevseyev#471Challenger Istanbul 2 · R326:4 4:6 6:1
  • 31/07/26LPaul Inchauspe#587Challenger Samsun · QF6:3 3:6 4:6

Yan Cheng Chen

  • 02/11/25LWishaya Trongcharoenchaikul#970Challenger Taipei · Q16:7 3:6
  • 12/05/24LHikaru Shiraishi#594Challenger Taipei · Q14:6 6:7

Elo over the last year

Yanki ErelYan Cheng Chen

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. ErelY. Chen
Hard court16–964%0–10%
Clay0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.