Watanuki vs Leong 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 60%
Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Watanuki 13 of 20, Leong 13 of 20 (tour average 51%)
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Won71%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Watanuki 15 of 20, Leong 15 of 20 (tour average 66%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Watanuki 72% · M. Leong 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 82% | 18% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 54% | 46% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 46% | 54% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 60% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 42% |
Sample: 2,530 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 20.5in · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Yosuke Watanuki | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 56% | First serves in | 62% |
| 93% | First-serve points won | 48% |
| 57% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/4 | Break points converted | 0/4 |
| 8/8 | Service games held | 4/8 |
| 77% | Service points won | 49% |
| 51% | Return points won | 23% |
| 61 | Total points won | 34 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Watanuki | Tour | M. Leong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.66 | 0.49 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/11 | 6/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yosuke Watanuki
- 01/11/26WDominik Palan#603Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 6:0
- 16/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#129Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 2:6 6:7
- 15/10/26WMarin Cilic#96Challenger Jinan · R167:5 6:4
- 14/10/26WAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:2
- 12/10/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:2
- 11/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 07/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 5:7 2:6
- 02/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#216Challenger Zhangjiagang · R165:7 3:6
- 31/08/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 7:5
- 29/07/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Vancouver · R324:6 2:6
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
- 01/11/26WTin ChenChallenger Taipei · Q16:1 7:6
- 26/10/26LQian Sun#890Challenger Ningbo · Q14:6 5:7
- 19/10/26LLuca Castelnuovo#446Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q23:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
- 08/10/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
- 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#331Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 6:4 6:7
- 17/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Watanuki | M. Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1063% | 32–2062% |
| Clay | 0–40% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yosuke Watanuki
- 01/11/26WDominik Palan#603Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 6:0