Watanuki vs Palan 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Y. Watanuki 83% · D. Palan 17%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 76% | 24% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 65% | 35% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 55% | 45% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 46% | 54% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 38% | 62% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 32% | 68% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 27% | 73% | 42% |
Sample: 1,434 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 19.5in · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Yosuke Watanuki | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 6 |
| 0 | Double faults | 5 |
| 54% | First serves in | 55% |
| 73% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 82% | Second-serve points won | 26% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 5/9 |
| 77% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 23% |
| 61 | Total points won | 38 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Watanuki | Tour | D. Palan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 17% |
| Aces per service game | 0.66 | 0.68 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.43 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/10 | 6/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 30 | 32 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yosuke Watanuki
- 16/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#129Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 2:6 6:7
- 15/10/26WMarin Cilic#96Challenger Jinan · R167:5 6:4
- 14/10/26WAndre Ilagan#199Challenger Jinan · R326:2 6:2
- 12/10/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:2
- 11/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 07/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 5:7 2:6
- 02/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#216Challenger Zhangjiagang · R165:7 3:6
- 31/08/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 7:5
- 29/07/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Vancouver · R324:6 2:6
- 22/07/26LToby Samuel#97Challenger Winnipeg · R160:6 1:6
Dominik Palan
- 25/10/26LEgor Pleshivtsev#783Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 1:6 6:7
- 20/10/26LLiam Broady#231Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R327:6 4:6 2:6
- 19/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
- 18/10/26WArthur Weber#398Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 7:6 6:4
- 06/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#481Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 4:6
- 28/09/26LTerence Atmane#90Challenger Jingshan · Q11:6 4:6
- 15/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#724Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 2:6 5:7
- 07/09/26LHiroki Moriya#482Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:4 1:6 2:6
- 31/08/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q21:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WJi Sung Nam#821Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Watanuki | D. Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1062% | 14–1647% |
| Clay | 0–40% | 0–20% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.