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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pleshivtsev vs Palan 2:1: result and our tips

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Egor PleshivtsevATP #783Elo 1388hard 1389
2:1final3:6 6:1 7:6(7)
Dominik PalanATP #603Elo 1460hard 1466

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Egor Pleshivtsev44%
Dominik Palan56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Pleshivtsev26%
2:1 E. Pleshivtsev17%
2:1 D. Palan21%
2:0 D. Palan36%

First set

Egor Pleshivtsev45%
Dominik Palan55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,742 matches

Games handicap

D. Palan −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Egor PleshivtsevDominik Palan
8Aces5
6Double faults6
56%First serves in59%
81%First-serve points won65%
42%Second-serve points won46%
5/9Break points converted4/13
10/14Service games held9/14
63%Service points won57%
43%Return points won37%
98Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. PleshivtsevTourD. Palan
Service points won—62%64%
Return points won—38%34%
Service games held—76%81%
Breaks of serve—24%16%
Aces per service game—0.68
Double faults per game—0.44
Sets with a tie-break—16%
Tie-breaks won—6/12
Wins in straight sets—64%
Matches in the sample—32

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Egor Pleshivtsev

Dominik Palan

  • 20/10/26LLiam Broady#231Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R327:6 4:6 2:6
  • 19/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26WArthur Weber#398Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 7:6 6:4
  • 06/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#481Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 4:6
  • 28/09/26LTerence Atmane#90Challenger Jingshan · Q11:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#724Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 2:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26LHiroki Moriya#482Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:4 1:6 2:6
  • 31/08/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q21:6 4:6
  • 30/08/26WJi Sung Nam#821Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:4 6:3
  • 10/08/26LSemen Pankin#432Challenger Astana · R321:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Egor PleshivtsevDominik Palan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. PleshivtsevD. Palan
Hard court0–20%14–1647%
Clay0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.