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Challenger NingboChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Leong vs Sun 0:2: result and our tips

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Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongATP #408Elo 1578hard 1585
0:2final4:6 5:7
Qian SunATP #890Elo 1258hard 1257

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Leong 2-0Lost58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Leong won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Sun lost 0-2 in 3 of the last 5 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: LeongLost79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Sun lost 5 of the last 5 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong79%
Qian Sun21%

Elo: M. Leong 87% · Q. Sun 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Leong58%
2:1 M. Leong22%
2:1 Q. Sun9%
2:0 Q. Sun11%

First set

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong73%
Qian Sun27%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.551%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 3,081 matches

Games handicap

M. Leong −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongQian Sun
5Aces4
8Double faults6
59%First serves in59%
61%First-serve points won63%
43%Second-serve points won49%
3/10Break points converted5/9
6/11Service games held8/11
54%Service points won57%
43%Return points won46%
72Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LeongTourQ. Sun
Service points won63%62%60%
Return points won41%38%35%
Service games held77%76%74%
Breaks of serve30%24%17%
Aces per service game0.480.48
Double faults per game0.260.34
Sets with a tie-break13%17%
Tie-breaks won5/151/2
Wins in straight sets61%—
Matches in the sample515

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

  • 19/10/26LLuca Castelnuovo#446Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q23:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WFumin JiangChallenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:7 6:4 3:1
  • 08/10/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Wuning 3 · R163:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:1
  • 29/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Jingshan · Q22:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26WThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Jingshan · Q16:4 6:4
  • 18/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#331Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:7 6:4 6:7
  • 17/09/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:2 6:3
  • 16/09/26WSergey Fomin#291Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:3 6:1
  • 14/09/26WHanyi Liu#827Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q22:6 6:1 4:0

Qian Sun

Elo over the last year

Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongQian Sun

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LeongQ. Sun
Hard court31–1962%0–50%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.