Skip to content
Challenger TaipeiChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Schwaerzler vs Kumstat 1:2: result and our tips

·

Joel SchwaerzlerATP #172Elo 1702hard 1697
1:2final5:7 6:3 6:7(2)
Jan KumstatATP #194Elo 1851hard 1691

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

How our tips did

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joel Schwaerzler52%
Jan Kumstat48%

Elo: J. Schwaerzler 51% · J. Kumstat 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Schwaerzler32%
2:1 J. Schwaerzler20%
2:1 J. Kumstat19%
2:0 J. Kumstat29%

First set

Joel Schwaerzler52%
Jan Kumstat48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%62%
20.565%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,347 matches

Games handicap

J. Schwaerzler −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 34 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Joel SchwaerzlerJan Kumstat
13Aces14
4Double faults3
68%First serves in57%
80%First-serve points won73%
50%Second-serve points won62%
1/11Break points converted1/5
16/17Service games held15/16
71%Service points won68%
32%Return points won30%
111Total points won110

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. SchwaerzlerTourJ. Kumstat
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held80%76%85%
Breaks of serve19%24%24%
Aces per service game0.490.68
Double faults per game0.250.24
Sets with a tie-break23%16%
Tie-breaks won23/368/13
Wins in straight sets50%63%
Matches in the sample6336

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joel Schwaerzler

  • 24/10/26LTitouan Droguet#79ATP Vienna · Q13:6 6:3 5:7
  • 17/10/26LFederico Cina#136ATP Brussels · Q13:6 6:7
  • 08/10/26LJack Pinnington Jones#190Challenger Villena · R161:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WFelix Balshaw#180Challenger Villena · R326:7 6:3 7:5
  • 03/10/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#187Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · SF4:6 2:6
  • 02/10/26WLucas Poullain#327Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · QF6:4 6:1
  • 01/10/26WHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:4 6:3
  • 29/09/26WAlberto Barroso Campos#712Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:3 7:5
  • 22/09/26LMaxime Chazal#425Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:2 4:6 6:7
  • 03/09/26LLuca Potenza#566Challenger Manacor · R162:6 2:6

Jan Kumstat

Elo over the last year

Joel SchwaerzlerJan Kumstat

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. SchwaerzlerJ. Kumstat
Hard court20–1459%3–538%
Clay14–1450%24–486%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also