Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Giron vs Boulais: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Marcos Giron82%
Justin Boulais19%
Elo: M. Giron 78% · J. Boulais 23%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Giron61%
2:1 M. Giron21%
2:1 J. Boulais9%
2:0 J. Boulais10%
First set
Marcos Giron75%
Justin Boulais25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 22% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 68% | 37% |
Sample: 2,784 matches
Games handicap
M. Giron −4.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Giron | Tour | J. Boulais | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.16 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/33 | 6/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 56 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marcos Giron
- 03/11/26WDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Charlottesville · R326:2 6:4
- 24/10/26LYannick Hanfmann#58ATP Basel · Q12:6 7:5 4:6
- 20/10/26LJan-Lennard Struff#39ATP Brussels · R326:7 6:7
- 08/10/26LSebastián Báez#52ATP Shanghai · R1286:1 3:6 4:6
- 28/09/26LJaume Munar#65ATP Tokyo · Q17:5 1:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LIgnacio Buse#33ATP US Open · R1286:3 3:6 3:6 7:6 1:6
- 24/08/26LDhakshineswar Suresh#448ATP Winston Salem · R643:6 5:7
- 12/08/26LHenrique Rocha#99ATP Cincinnati · Q14:6 6:7
- 04/08/26LHubert Hurkacz#29ATP Montreal · R1285:7 6:4 2:6
- 01/08/26WPablo Llamas Ruiz#141ATP Montreal · Q12:6 6:3 6:1
Justin Boulais
- 03/11/26WJeffrey John Wolf#204Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:2
- 02/11/26WSamuel Heredia#634Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:2 6:0
- 01/11/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Charlottesville · Q11:6 6:2 6:0
- 25/10/26LSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
- 27/09/26LAlexandre Reco#811Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 4:6
- 22/09/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Saint Tropez · R324:6 6:2 6:7
- 21/09/26LMatteo Martineau#244Challenger Saint Tropez · Q23:6 1:6
- 20/09/26WMickael Kaouk#937Challenger Saint Tropez · Q15:7 6:3 6:2
- 14/09/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Rennes · Q26:7 3:6
- 13/09/26WTheo ArribageChallenger Rennes · Q17:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Marcos GironJustin Boulais
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Giron | J. Boulais | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1850% | 25–2253% |
| Clay | 3–633% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 5–645% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Marcos Giron
- 03/11/26WDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Charlottesville · R326:2 6:4
Justin Boulais
- 01/11/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Charlottesville · Q11:6 6:2 6:0
- 02/11/26WSamuel Heredia#634Challenger Charlottesville · Q26:2 6:0
- 03/11/26WJeffrey John Wolf#204Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:2