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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Giron vs Dietrich 2:0: result and our tips

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Marcos GironATP #89Elo 1795hard 1765
2:0final6:2 6:4
Dylan DietrichATP #189Elo 1997hard 1979

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: DietrichLost66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dietrich: 12 wins in a row; Dietrich won 10 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 20.5Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 63%

    Giron: 8 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Giron 19 of 20, Dietrich 10 of 20 (tour average 54%)

  • 1st Set Winner: DietrichLost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Giron lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Dietrich won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 40%

Giron: 4 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Giron 13 of 20, Dietrich 5 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marcos Giron35%
Dylan Dietrich65%

Elo: M. Giron 23% · D. Dietrich 77%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Giron20%
2:1 M. Giron15%
2:1 D. Dietrich22%
2:0 D. Dietrich43%

First set

Marcos Giron39%
Dylan Dietrich61%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.551%50%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,639 matches

Games handicap

D. Dietrich −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Marcos GironDylan Dietrich
3Aces3
3Double faults1
51%First serves in64%
88%First-serve points won76%
47%Second-serve points won32%
3/6Break points converted0/3
9/9Service games held6/9
68%Service points won60%
40%Return points won32%
65Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GironTourD. Dietrich
Service points won64%62%67%
Return points won36%38%40%
Service games held81%76%85%
Breaks of serve21%24%27%
Aces per service game0.400.62
Double faults per game0.150.22
Sets with a tie-break23%18%
Tie-breaks won14/338/11
Wins in straight sets56%82%
Matches in the sample5528

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marcos Giron

Dylan Dietrich

Elo over the last year

Marcos GironDylan Dietrich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GironD. Dietrich
Hard court17–1849%15–288%
Clay3–633%7–464%
Grass5–645%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.