Dietrich vs Draxl 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dietrich: 14 matches in a row winning the first set
Other tips
- Match Winner: DietrichWon71%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dietrich: 11 wins in a row; Dietrich won 10 of the last 10 matches
- Total Games: Under 23.5Lost61%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dietrich: 11 matches in a row under 23.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Draxl: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Dietrich 67% · L. Draxl 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 4,746 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.5in · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Dylan Dietrich | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 66% | First serves in | 58% |
| 72% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 11/13 | Service games held | 11/13 |
| 66% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 34% |
| 80 | Total points won | 77 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Dietrich | Tour | L. Draxl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 67% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.64 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/11 | 15/30 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 45% | |
| Matches in the sample | 27 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dylan Dietrich
- 31/10/26WAidan Mayo#285Challenger Sioux Falls · SF6:4 6:2
- 30/10/26WJeffrey John Wolf#204Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:2 7:5
- 29/10/26WJenson Brooksby#94Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:3 6:3
- 27/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 7:5
- 04/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Columbus · F6:3 6:2
- 03/10/26WAndres Andrade#229Challenger Columbus · SF6:3 1:0
- 02/10/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Columbus · QF6:3 6:3
- 30/09/26WAndrew Fenty#489Challenger Columbus · R167:5 6:2
- 29/09/26WJeffrey John Wolf#204Challenger Columbus · R327:6 6:3
- 27/09/26LNishesh Basavareddy#128Challenger San Diego 2 · SF7:6 4:6 1:5
Liam Draxl
- 31/10/26WSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · SF6:7 7:6 6:4
- 31/10/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:3 3:6 6:0
- 29/10/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · R164:5
- 27/10/26WTomasz Berkieta#642Challenger Sioux Falls · R327:6 7:6
- 17/10/26LMartin Landaluce#67Challenger Jinan · SF6:7 3:6
- 16/10/26WTomáš Macháč#69Challenger Jinan · QF6:4 3:6 6:4
- 15/10/26WIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Jinan · R166:4 0:6 6:4
- 14/10/26WJames Duckworth#70Challenger Jinan · R326:4 6:4
- 13/10/26WOmar Jasika#329Challenger Jinan · Q25:7 7:6 6:4
- 11/10/26WYutong DuChallenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Dietrich | L. Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–288% | 33–1865% |
| Clay | 7–464% | 7–654% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Dylan Dietrich
- 27/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 7:5
- 29/10/26WJenson Brooksby#94Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:3 6:3
- 30/10/26WJeffrey John Wolf#204Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:2 7:5
- 31/10/26WAidan Mayo#285Challenger Sioux Falls · SF6:4 6:2
Liam Draxl
- 27/10/26WTomasz Berkieta#642Challenger Sioux Falls · R327:6 7:6
- 29/10/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Sioux Falls · R164:5
- 31/10/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Sioux Falls · QF6:3 3:6 6:0
- 31/10/26WSebastian Dominko#456Challenger Sioux Falls · SF6:7 7:6 6:4