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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Semifinalhard, indoorbest of three sets

Dietrich vs Mayo 2:0: result and our tips

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Dylan DietrichATP #189Elo 1968hard 1944
2:0final6:4 6:2
Aidan MayoATP #285Elo 1737hard 1731

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: DietrichWon66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dietrich: 13 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: DietrichWon72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dietrich: 10 wins in a row; Dietrich won 10 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 59%

    Dietrich: 10 matches in a row under 23.5 games

Long shot
Set Betting: Dietrich 2-0Won49%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dietrich won 2-0 in 15 of the last 20 matches, Mayo lost 0-2 in 3 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dylan Dietrich72%
Aidan Mayo29%

Elo: D. Dietrich 77% · A. Mayo 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dietrich49%
2:1 D. Dietrich22%
2:1 A. Mayo13%
2:0 A. Mayo16%

First set

Dylan Dietrich66%
Aidan Mayo34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.537%63%35%
25.534%66%32%

Sample: 4,543 matches

Games handicap

D. Dietrich −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dylan DietrichAidan Mayo
5Aces4
3Double faults3
58%First serves in52%
83%First-serve points won74%
59%Second-serve points won38%
3/6Break points converted0/0
9/9Service games held6/9
73%Service points won57%
43%Return points won27%
64Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DietrichTourA. Mayo
Service points won67%62%65%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held85%76%83%
Breaks of serve27%24%23%
Aces per service game0.640.57
Double faults per game0.230.36
Sets with a tie-break19%24%
Tie-breaks won8/1111/29
Wins in straight sets85%69%
Matches in the sample2650

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dylan Dietrich

Aidan Mayo

Elo over the last year

Dylan DietrichAidan Mayo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DietrichA. Mayo
Hard court13–287%25–1760%
Clay7–464%4–357%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dylan Dietrich

Aidan Mayo