Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Mayo vs Kaśnikowski: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 28mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Aidan Mayo39%
Maks Kaśnikowski61%
Elo: A. Mayo 47% · M. Kaśnikowski 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Mayo23%
2:1 A. Mayo16%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski21%
2:0 M. Kaśnikowski39%
First set
Aidan Mayo42%
Maks Kaśnikowski58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 30% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,953 matches
Games handicap
M. Kaśnikowski −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes39%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mayo | Tour | M. Kaśnikowski | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.37 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/28 | 10/23 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 73% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aidan Mayo
- 27/10/26WHynek Barton#275Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:2 6:3
- 23/10/26LSander Jong#396Challenger Fort Worth · QF6:7 6:0 6:7
- 22/10/26WKaylan Bigun#535Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:0 7:5
- 20/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 2:6 7:6
- 02/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Columbus · QF6:7 5:7
- 01/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Columbus · R166:2 7:6
- 30/09/26WNikita Samuel FilinChallenger Columbus · R326:4 6:4
- 21/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger San Diego 2 · Q23:6 4:6
- 20/09/26WJordan LeeChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:2 6:2
- 15/09/26LRyan Seggerman#568Challenger Tiburon · R326:1 4:6 4:6
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 27/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:1 6:2
- 17/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#83Challenger Olbia · SF1:6 5:7
- 16/10/26WStefano Travaglia#167Challenger Olbia · QF6:2 7:5
- 14/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Olbia · R166:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WCezar Cretu#278Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:1
- 06/10/26LPhilip Henning#248Challenger Villena · R326:7 1:6
- 12/09/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF6:7 4:6
- 11/09/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#174Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF6:0 2:6 6:1
- 09/09/26WChristian Langmo#514Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:3 7:6
- 07/09/26WIvan Marrero Curbelo#385Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 7:5 6:0
Elo over the last year
Aidan MayoMaks Kaśnikowski
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mayo | M. Kaśnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1758% | 27–1761% |
| Clay | 4–357% | 13–1154% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Aidan Mayo
- 27/10/26WHynek Barton#275Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:2 6:3
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 27/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:1 6:2