Jong vs Mayo 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Jong: 11 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Jong 11 of 11, Mayo 11 of 20 (tour average 54%)
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: MayoLost56%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Jong lost the first set in 9 of the last 11 matches, Mayo won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Jong 7 of 11, Mayo 9 of 20 (tour average 37%); Mayo: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Jong 63% · A. Mayo 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,649 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 32 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Sander Jong | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 6 |
| 8 | Double faults | 7 |
| 56% | First serves in | 59% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 80% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 11/15 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 66% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 34% |
| 102 | Total points won | 112 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Jong | Tour | A. Mayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.49 | 0.57 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.37 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 31% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/9 | 11/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 11 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sander Jong
- 22/10/26WJeffrey John Wolf#210Challenger Fort Worth · R164:6 6:3 7:6
- 20/10/26WLui Maxted#429Challenger Fort Worth · R327:6 6:4
- 19/10/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Fort Worth · Q24:6 7:6 7:5
- 18/10/26WKeegan Rice#580Challenger Fort Worth · Q13:6 7:6 6:2
- 13/07/26LMika Petkovic#392Challenger Bunschoten · Q26:7 3:6
- 12/07/26WMaxime Chazal#424Challenger Bunschoten · Q13:6 7:6 6:4
- 07/06/26LJames McCabe#255ATP S-Hertogenbosch · Q26:7 4:6
- 06/06/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP S-Hertogenbosch · Q14:6 6:3 6:4
- 02/06/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#330Challenger Bad Rappenau · R324:6 6:1 4:6
- 01/06/26WLasse PoertnerChallenger Bad Rappenau · Q26:3 7:5
Aidan Mayo
- 22/10/26WKaylan Bigun#535Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:0 7:5
- 20/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 2:6 7:6
- 02/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Columbus · QF6:7 5:7
- 01/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Columbus · R166:2 7:6
- 30/09/26WNikita Samuel FilinChallenger Columbus · R326:4 6:4
- 21/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger San Diego 2 · Q23:6 4:6
- 20/09/26WJordan LeeChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:2 6:2
- 15/09/26LRyan Seggerman#568Challenger Tiburon · R326:1 4:6 4:6
- 29/08/26WAndres Andrade#224Challenger Kingston 2 · F6:3 7:6
- 28/08/26WLuis Guto Miguel#541Challenger Kingston 2 · SF6:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Jong | A. Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–0100% | 22–1658% |
| Clay | 3–260% | 4–357% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sander Jong
- 18/10/26WKeegan Rice#580Challenger Fort Worth · Q13:6 7:6 6:2
- 19/10/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Fort Worth · Q24:6 7:6 7:5
- 20/10/26WLui Maxted#429Challenger Fort Worth · R327:6 6:4
- 22/10/26WJeffrey John Wolf#210Challenger Fort Worth · R164:6 6:3 7:6
Aidan Mayo
- 20/10/26WColton Smith#218Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 2:6 7:6
- 22/10/26WKaylan Bigun#535Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 6:0 7:5