Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Jong vs Maxted 2:0: result and our tips

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Sander JongATP #451Elo 1706hard 1703
2:0final7:6(3) 6:4
Lui MaxtedATP #380Elo 1576hard 1565

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jong: 10 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Jong 7 of 11, Maxted 8 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sander Jong46%
Lui Maxted54%

Elo: S. Jong 69% · L. Maxted 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Jong28%
2:1 S. Jong18%
2:1 L. Maxted20%
2:0 L. Maxted34%

First set

Sander Jong47%
Lui Maxted53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,422 matches

Games handicap

Lui Maxted −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sander JongLui Maxted
4Aces0
3Double faults1
53%First serves in58%
75%First-serve points won69%
57%Second-serve points won47%
2/8Break points converted1/6
10/11Service games held9/11
67%Service points won60%
40%Return points won33%
81Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. JongTourL. Maxted
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve23%24%27%
Aces per service game0.530.38
Double faults per game0.300.27
Sets with a tie-break35%10%
Tie-breaks won5/92/5
Wins in straight sets17%73%
Matches in the sample1021

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sander Jong

Lui Maxted

  • 28/09/26LLuca Potenza#559Challenger Porto 2 · Q22:6 2:4
  • 27/09/26WFrancisco Rocha#893Challenger Porto 2 · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
  • 31/08/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Manacor · Q11:6 1:6
  • 26/08/26LJohannus Monday#333Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:1 3:6 6:7
  • 24/08/26WAnton Shepp#487Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:3 6:3
  • 21/08/26LLucas Poullain#318Challenger Roehampton · SF3:6 2:6
  • 20/08/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Roehampton · QF7:5 6:4
  • 19/08/26WPatrick Brady#693Challenger Roehampton · R166:4 4:6 7:5
  • 18/08/26WMatteo Martineau#243Challenger Roehampton · R327:5 7:6
  • 08/07/26LIvan Ivanov#457Challenger Nottingham 3 · R163:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Sander JongLui Maxted

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. JongL. Maxted
Hard court2–167%10–953%
Clay3–260%0–0
Grass1–150%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sander Jong

Lui Maxted

First match in this tournament.

See also