Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Miyoshi vs Jong 1:2: result and our tips

·

Kenta (2004) MiyoshiATP #441Elo 1641hard 1640
1:2final6:4 6:7(3) 5:7
Sander JongATP #451Elo 1668hard 1659

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jong: 9 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Miyoshi 11 of 20, Jong 10 of 11 (tour average 54%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi56%
Sander Jong44%

Elo: K. Miyoshi 47% · S. Jong 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Miyoshi36%
2:1 K. Miyoshi21%
2:1 S. Jong17%
2:0 S. Jong26%

First set

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi55%
Sander Jong45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,725 matches

Games handicap

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 35 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Kenta (2004) MiyoshiSander Jong
3Aces6
1Double faults5
55%First serves in56%
63%First-serve points won71%
50%Second-serve points won51%
5/8Break points converted5/15
12/17Service games held12/17
57%Service points won62%
38%Return points won43%
113Total points won120

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. MiyoshiTourS. Jong
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve30%24%24%
Aces per service game0.540.63
Double faults per game0.200.30
Sets with a tie-break15%30%
Tie-breaks won7/114/8
Wins in straight sets75%43%
Matches in the sample3111

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

Sander Jong

  • 18/10/26WKeegan Rice#580Challenger Fort Worth · Q13:6 7:6 6:2
  • 13/07/26LMika Petkovic#424Challenger Bunschoten · Q26:7 3:6
  • 12/07/26WMaxime Chazal#418Challenger Bunschoten · Q13:6 7:6 6:4
  • 07/06/26LJames McCabe#247ATP S-Hertogenbosch · Q26:7 4:6
  • 06/06/26WShintaro Mochizuki#129ATP S-Hertogenbosch · Q14:6 6:3 6:4
  • 02/06/26LYu Hsiou Hsu#287Challenger Bad Rappenau · R324:6 6:1 4:6
  • 01/06/26WLasse PoertnerChallenger Bad Rappenau · Q26:3 7:5
  • 31/05/26WMatteo Martineau#243Challenger Bad Rappenau · Q13:6 7:6 7:6
  • 22/10/25LJustin Engel#428Challenger Hamburg · R326:7 6:7
  • 20/10/25WNiklas Guttau#767Challenger Hamburg · Q26:2 6:1

Elo over the last year

Kenta (2004) MiyoshiSander Jong

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. MiyoshiS. Jong
Hard court20–1165%3–175%
Clay0–03–260%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

Sander Jong