Skip to content
Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Trotter vs Kaśnikowski 0:2: result and our tips

·

James Kent TrotterATP #551Elo 1645hard 1641
0:2final1:6 2:6
Maks KaśnikowskiATP #213Elo 1730hard 1700

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kasnikowski: 8 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kasnikowski: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon60%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 60%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Trotter 16 of 20, Kasnikowski 14 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won38%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 38%

Kasnikowski: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James Kent Trotter37%
Maks Kaśnikowski63%

Elo: J. Trotter 42% · M. Kaśnikowski 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Trotter22%
2:1 J. Trotter16%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski22%
2:0 M. Kaśnikowski41%

First set

James Kent Trotter41%
Maks Kaśnikowski59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.544%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,807 matches

Games handicap

M. Kaśnikowski −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

James Kent TrotterMaks Kaśnikowski
4Aces5
3Double faults0
55%First serves in67%
57%First-serve points won88%
32%Second-serve points won67%
0/0Break points converted5/9
3/8Service games held7/7
46%Service points won81%
19%Return points won55%
32Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. TrotterTourM. Kaśnikowski
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held82%76%81%
Breaks of serve19%24%26%
Aces per service game0.650.36
Double faults per game0.270.13
Sets with a tie-break23%14%
Tie-breaks won11/2510/23
Wins in straight sets59%72%
Matches in the sample4467

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James Kent Trotter

  • 26/10/26WOzan Baris#407Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:6 6:7 7:5
  • 25/10/26WTrevor Svajda#477Challenger Sioux Falls · Q14:6 6:3 6:4
  • 18/10/26LGavin Young#531Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:1 4:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26LStefan Kozlov#284Challenger Columbus · R323:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLi Tu#509Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WAlexander Ikenna OkonkwoChallenger Columbus · Q17:5 7:6
  • 17/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R162:6 3:6
  • 16/09/26WFederico Cina#142Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26WThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WZiyu LiuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:1 6:0

Maks Kaśnikowski

Elo over the last year

James Kent TrotterMaks Kaśnikowski

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. TrotterM. Kaśnikowski
Hard court22–2151%26–1760%
Clay0–013–1154%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

James Kent Trotter

Maks Kaśnikowski

First match in this tournament.