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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Trotter vs Svajda 2:1: result and our tips

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James Kent TrotterATP #551Elo 1617hard 1614
2:1final4:6 6:3 6:4
Trevor SvajdaATP #477Elo 1576hard 1562

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Svajda: 5 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Svajda: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
1st Set Winner: TrotterLost45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Trotter won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Svajda lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James Kent Trotter41%
Trevor Svajda59%

Elo: J. Trotter 58% · T. Svajda 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Trotter25%
2:1 J. Trotter17%
2:1 T. Svajda21%
2:0 T. Svajda38%

First set

James Kent Trotter44%
Trevor Svajda56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.557%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,936 matches

Games handicap

T. Svajda −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

James Kent TrotterTrevor Svajda
6Aces2
4Double faults1
58%First serves in57%
80%First-serve points won62%
33%Second-serve points won53%
5/13Break points converted4/6
11/15Service games held9/14
60%Service points won58%
42%Return points won40%
88Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. TrotterTourT. Svajda
Service points won65%62%61%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held81%76%74%
Breaks of serve19%24%23%
Aces per service game0.650.29
Double faults per game0.270.23
Sets with a tie-break22%18%
Tie-breaks won10/234/10
Wins in straight sets65%67%
Matches in the sample4225

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James Kent Trotter

  • 18/10/26LGavin Young#531Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:1 4:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26LStefan Kozlov#284Challenger Columbus · R323:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLi Tu#509Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WAlexander Ikenna OkonkwoChallenger Columbus · Q17:5 7:6
  • 17/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R162:6 3:6
  • 16/09/26WFederico Cina#142Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26WThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WZiyu LiuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:1 6:0
  • 04/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF7:6 3:6 0:4
  • 02/09/26WYu Hsiou Hsu#330Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:4 7:5

Trevor Svajda

Elo over the last year

James Kent TrotterTrevor Svajda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. TrotterT. Svajda
Hard court20–2149%9–1636%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

J. Trotter 1–1 T. Svajda

  • 03/06/24Winner: J. Trotter6:4 7:6
  • 01/10/23Winner: T. Svajda4:6 1:6

See also