Skip to content
Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Baris vs Trotter 1:2: result and our tips

·

Ozan BarisATP #407Elo 1577hard 1563
1:2final6:7(3) 7:6(6) 5:7
James Kent TrotterATP #551Elo 1631hard 1628

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ozan Baris51%
James Kent Trotter49%

Elo: O. Baris 41% · J. Trotter 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Baris31%
2:1 O. Baris19%
2:1 J. Trotter19%
2:0 J. Trotter30%

First set

Ozan Baris51%
James Kent Trotter49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%51%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,243 matches

Games handicap

O. Baris −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 38 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Ozan BarisJames Kent Trotter
6Aces15
9Double faults3
46%First serves in61%
72%First-serve points won86%
64%Second-serve points won61%
1/2Break points converted2/9
16/18Service games held17/18
68%Service points won76%
24%Return points won32%
109Total points won121

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. BarisTourJ. Trotter
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held76%76%81%
Breaks of serve25%24%19%
Aces per service game0.380.65
Double faults per game0.210.27
Sets with a tie-break7%22%
Tie-breaks won1/310/23
Wins in straight sets70%62%
Matches in the sample1843

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ozan Baris

James Kent Trotter

  • 25/10/26WTrevor Svajda#477Challenger Sioux Falls · Q14:6 6:3 6:4
  • 18/10/26LGavin Young#531Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:1 4:6 3:6
  • 29/09/26LStefan Kozlov#284Challenger Columbus · R323:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLi Tu#509Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WAlexander Ikenna OkonkwoChallenger Columbus · Q17:5 7:6
  • 17/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R162:6 3:6
  • 16/09/26WFederico Cina#142Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26WThomas Fancutt#692Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WZiyu LiuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:1 6:0
  • 04/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF7:6 3:6 0:4

Elo over the last year

Ozan BarisJames Kent Trotter

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. BarisJ. Trotter
Hard court9–756%21–2150%
Grass1–150%0–10%

Head to head

O. Baris 1–1 J. Trotter

  • 29/06/26Winner: O. Baris7:6 6:2
  • 28/07/24Winner: J. Trotter1:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Ozan Baris

James Kent Trotter