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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Dietrich vs Wolf 2:0: result and our tips

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Dylan DietrichATP #189Elo 1953hard 1927
2:0final6:2 7:5
Jeffrey John WolfATP #204Elo 1782hard 1767

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: DietrichWon59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dietrich: 12 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: DietrichWon63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dietrich: 9 wins in a row; Dietrich won 9 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 24.5Won61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Dietrich: 9 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dietrich: 5 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dylan Dietrich63%
Jeffrey John Wolf37%

Elo: D. Dietrich 72% · J. Wolf 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dietrich41%
2:1 D. Dietrich22%
2:1 J. Wolf16%
2:0 J. Wolf22%

First set

Dylan Dietrich59%
Jeffrey John Wolf41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,806 matches

Games handicap

D. Dietrich −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dylan DietrichJeffrey John Wolf
10Aces3
2Double faults3
51%First serves in67%
80%First-serve points won57%
39%Second-serve points won33%
5/9Break points converted2/9
8/10Service games held5/10
60%Service points won49%
51%Return points won41%
79Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DietrichTourJ. Wolf
Service points won67%62%63%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held85%76%79%
Breaks of serve25%24%23%
Aces per service game0.620.50
Double faults per game0.240.25
Sets with a tie-break19%21%
Tie-breaks won8/116/15
Wins in straight sets84%59%
Matches in the sample2629

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dylan Dietrich

Jeffrey John Wolf

  • 28/10/26WDaniel Milavsky#307Challenger Sioux Falls · R167:6 7:6
  • 27/10/26WAbdullah Shelbayh#311Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:1
  • 22/10/26LSander Jong#393Challenger Fort Worth · R166:4 3:6 6:7
  • 20/10/26WTyler Zink#441Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 6:3
  • 29/09/26LDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Columbus · R326:7 3:6
  • 22/09/26LDarwin Blanch#139Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 6:7 1:6
  • 19/09/26LMichael Mmoh#149Challenger Tiburon · SF2:6 2:6
  • 18/09/26WSebastian Gorzny#403Challenger Tiburon · QF7:6 1:6 7:5
  • 16/09/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Tiburon · R166:4 6:7 6:4
  • 14/09/26WLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#335Challenger Tiburon · R326:2 6:0

Elo over the last year

Dylan DietrichJeffrey John Wolf

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DietrichJ. Wolf
Hard court12–380%16–964%
Clay7–464%1–325%

Head to head

D. Dietrich 1–0 J. Wolf

  • 29/09/26Winner: D. Dietrich7:6 6:3

Road through the tournament

Dylan Dietrich

Jeffrey John Wolf

Upcoming matches