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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Mrva vs Faurel: prediction and tips

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Maxim MrvaATP #231Elo 1766hard 1753
-:-
Thomas FaurelATP #298Elo 1581hard 1569

Our tips

Tip in 17h 14m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Maxim Mrva60%
Thomas Faurel40%

Elo: M. Mrva 74% · T. Faurel 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Mrva39%
2:1 M. Mrva21%
2:1 T. Faurel17%
2:0 T. Faurel24%

First set

Maxim Mrva57%
Thomas Faurel43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%71%
19.560%40%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.548%53%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.540%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 6,068 matches

Games handicap

M. Mrva −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MrvaTourT. Faurel
Service points won57%62%60%
Return points won43%38%40%
Service games held66%76%72%
Breaks of serve36%24%28%
Aces per service game0.270.23
Double faults per game0.320.17
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won9/192/11
Wins in straight sets55%84%
Matches in the sample6642

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maxim Mrva

Thomas Faurel

  • 04/11/26WLoann Massard#816Challenger Taranto · R327:5 4:0
  • 30/09/26LClement Tabur#156Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R161:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WJack Pinnington Jones#190Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:2 6:4
  • 23/09/26LMark Lajal#167Challenger Saint Tropez · R161:6 2:6
  • 22/09/26WHugo Grenier#394Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:4 6:4
  • 04/09/26LDusan Obradovic#497Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF4:6 6:7
  • 02/09/26WCalvin Hemery#274Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R167:5 5:7 4:2
  • 01/09/26WGiorgio Tabacco#617Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 7:5
  • 25/08/26LMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Augsburg · R321:6 3:6
  • 17/08/26LCezar Cretu#269Challenger Prague · R326:2 2:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Maxim MrvaThomas Faurel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MrvaT. Faurel
Hard court15–963%6–650%
Clay23–1955%13–1743%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Maxim Mrva

Thomas Faurel