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Challenger TarantoChallenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Mrva vs Ribecai 2:0: result and our tips

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Maxim MrvaATP #231Elo 1751hard 1737
2:0final6:4 7:5
Michele RibecaiATP #284Elo 1665hard 1617

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: market alone 76% → with the players' profiles 67%

Mrva: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 41%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Mrva 11 of 20, Ribecai 9 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maxim Mrva59%
Michele Ribecai41%

Elo: M. Mrva 67% · M. Ribecai 33%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Mrva38%
2:1 M. Mrva21%
2:1 M. Ribecai17%
2:0 M. Ribecai25%

First set

Maxim Mrva56%
Michele Ribecai44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.547%53%49%
22.541%59%42%
23.540%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 6,041 matches

Games handicap

M. Mrva −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maxim MrvaMichele Ribecai
4Aces4
4Double faults4
58%First serves in54%
67%First-serve points won68%
47%Second-serve points won45%
4/7Break points converted2/10
9/11Service games held7/11
59%Service points won57%
43%Return points won41%
80Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. MrvaTourM. Ribecai
Service points won57%62%61%
Return points won43%38%41%
Service games held66%76%74%
Breaks of serve36%24%32%
Aces per service game0.270.15
Double faults per game0.320.19
Sets with a tie-break12%9%
Tie-breaks won9/196/15
Wins in straight sets54%69%
Matches in the sample6568

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maxim Mrva

Michele Ribecai

  • 25/10/26LFilippo Romano#240Challenger Florence · F3:6 6:4 2:6
  • 24/10/26WOriol Roca Batalla#290Challenger Florence · SF7:5 6:4
  • 23/10/26WFilip Misolic#676Challenger Florence · QF6:2 6:1
  • 22/10/26WMax Houkes#216Challenger Florence · R163:6 6:3 6:0
  • 19/10/26WJacopo Vasami#385Challenger Florence · R324:6 6:0 4:2
  • 13/10/26LRadu Mihai Papoe#280Challenger Catania · R323:6 4:6
  • 09/10/26LJonas Forejtek#308Challenger Palermo · QF1:6 6:1 6:7
  • 07/10/26WZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Palermo · R166:1 6:1
  • 06/10/26WBenito Sanchez Martinez#901Challenger Palermo · R325:7 7:5 6:0
  • 20/09/26LMathys DomencChallenger Saint Tropez · Q14:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Maxim MrvaMichele Ribecai

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. MrvaM. Ribecai
Hard court14–961%14–1352%
Clay23–1955%22–1954%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also