Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Svrcina vs Mpetshi Perricard: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 8mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina43%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard57%
Elo: D. Svrcina 60% · G. Mpetshi Perricard 41%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 D. Svrcina26%
2:1 D. Svrcina17%
2:1 G. Mpetshi Perricard21%
2:0 G. Mpetshi Perricard37%
First set
Dalibor Svrcina45%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 56%market (no margin): 51%
The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,914 matches
Games handicap
G. Mpetshi Perricard −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes41%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Svrcina | Tour | G. Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 29% |
| Service games held | 68% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 24% | 11% |
| Aces per service game | 0.24 | 1.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 34% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/22 | 21/37 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 47% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dalibor Svrcina
- 03/11/26WNorbert Gombos#372Challenger Bratislava 2 · R324:6 6:1 6:1
- 12/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Shanghai · R322:6 3:6
- 10/10/26WTomás Martín Etcheverry#31ATP Shanghai · R646:3 3:6 7:5
- 08/10/26WCameron Norrie#45ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 3:6 6:4
- 06/10/26WYoshihito Nishioka#395ATP Shanghai · Q25:2
- 05/10/26WBilly Harris#232ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 7:6 7:5
- 30/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 3:6 1:6
- 24/09/26LRinky Hijikata#83ATP Hangzhou · R326:7 4:6
- 23/09/26WRio Noguchi#219ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 6:1
- 22/09/26WPhilip Sekulic#343ATP Hangzhou · Q16:3 6:2
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 03/11/26WMartin Krumich#302Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 6:4
- 02/11/26WSebastian Sorger#388Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q26:3 5:7 7:6
- 01/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#532Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:4 6:4
- 27/10/26LArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · R326:7 5:7
- 25/10/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP Basel · Q27:6 7:6
- 24/10/26WSebastián Báez#52ATP Basel · Q16:3 3:6 6:3
- 17/10/26LRemy Bertola#222ATP Brussels · Q16:7 7:6 5:7
- 13/10/26LEtienne Donnet#855Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:7
- 31/08/26LJurij Rodionov#142ATP US Open · R1286:7 0:6 6:7
- 23/08/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Winston Salem · R643:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Dalibor SvrcinaGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Svrcina | G. Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–1556% | 12–1643% |
| Clay | 15–1060% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 4–357% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Dalibor Svrcina
- 03/11/26WNorbert Gombos#372Challenger Bratislava 2 · R324:6 6:1 6:1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 01/11/26WYanis Ghazouani Durand#532Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q16:4 6:4
- 02/11/26WSebastian Sorger#388Challenger Bratislava 2 · Q26:3 5:7 7:6
- 03/11/26WMartin Krumich#302Challenger Bratislava 2 · R327:6 6:4