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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Svrcina vs Gombos 2:1: result and our tips

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Dalibor SvrcinaATP #119Elo 1845hard 1837
2:1final4:6 6:1 6:1
Norbert GombosATP #372Elo 1697hard 1635

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon73%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 73%

No tie-break in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dalibor Svrcina69%
Norbert Gombos31%

Elo: D. Svrcina 76% · N. Gombos 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Svrcina46%
2:1 D. Svrcina22%
2:1 N. Gombos14%
2:0 N. Gombos18%

First set

Dalibor Svrcina64%
Norbert Gombos36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%71%
19.561%39%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.548%52%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 5,081 matches

Games handicap

D. Svrcina −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dalibor SvrcinaNorbert Gombos
6Aces5
6Double faults0
52%First serves in65%
76%First-serve points won62%
56%Second-serve points won36%
6/8Break points converted2/10
10/12Service games held6/12
67%Service points won53%
47%Return points won33%
88Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SvrcinaTourN. Gombos
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won44%38%39%
Service games held68%76%78%
Breaks of serve37%24%25%
Aces per service game0.240.43
Double faults per game0.410.22
Sets with a tie-break15%17%
Tie-breaks won12/2215/22
Wins in straight sets67%59%
Matches in the sample5957

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dalibor Svrcina

Norbert Gombos

  • 13/10/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#249Challenger Roanne · R323:6 2:6
  • 12/10/26WRobin Catry#656Challenger Roanne · Q23:6 6:4 6:4
  • 11/10/26WMickael Kaouk#937Challenger Roanne · Q16:4 7:6
  • 07/09/26LOlle Wallin#416Challenger Tulln · Q26:7 4:6
  • 06/09/26WAlexander WagnerChallenger Tulln · Q16:0 6:2
  • 02/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#110Challenger Como · R164:6 3:6
  • 01/09/26WSandro Kopp#294Challenger Como · R326:3 6:3
  • 31/08/26WSvyatoslav Gulin#407Challenger Como · Q27:6 6:3
  • 30/08/26WAndrea de Marchi#592Challenger Como · Q16:3 7:5
  • 21/08/26LChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Prague · SF4:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Dalibor SvrcinaNorbert Gombos

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SvrcinaN. Gombos
Hard court18–1555%5–550%
Clay15–1060%29–1862%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

D. Svrcina 1–2 N. Gombos

  • 17/06/26Winner: D. Svrcina6:4 6:2
  • 03/06/25Winner: N. Gombos3:6 4:6
  • 13/06/23Winner: N. Gombos3:6 6:3 4:6

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