Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Pokorny vs Samuel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 10mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Lukas Pokorny16%
Toby Samuel85%
Elo: L. Pokorny 19% · T. Samuel 81%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Pokorny9%
2:1 L. Pokorny7%
2:1 T. Samuel20%
2:0 T. Samuel64%
First set
Lukas Pokorny23%
Toby Samuel78%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes27%
no73%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 55%market (no margin): 49%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 82% | 18% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 54% | 46% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 45% | 55% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 60% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 33% | 67% | 42% |
Sample: 2,300 matches
Games handicap
T. Samuel −4.557%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Pokorny | Tour | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.60 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/3 | 14/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 16 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lukas Pokorny
- 08/09/26LDiego Dedura#188Challenger Tulln · R322:6 7:5 0:6
- 07/09/26WAndrew PaulsonChallenger Tulln · Q23:6 6:4 6:3
- 06/09/26WLucio Ratti#371Challenger Tulln · Q16:1 5:7 6:4
- 10/06/26LZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Bratislava · R164:6 4:6
- 09/06/26WAlex Barrena#224Challenger Bratislava · R326:1 6:4
- 01/06/26LTaro Daniel#178Challenger Prostejov · Q24:6 0:6
- 31/05/26WEero Vasa#478Challenger Prostejov · Q17:6 6:4
- 27/05/26LMartin Krumich#302Challenger Kosice · R167:5 2:6 4:6
- 25/05/26WTom Paris#764Challenger Kosice · R320:6 6:1 6:3
- 17/05/26LKaan Isik KosanerChallenger Istanbul · Q14:6 6:7
Toby Samuel
- 29/10/26LClement Tabur#156Challenger Brest · R166:7 1:6
- 28/10/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Brest · R326:4 6:3
- 20/10/26LZizou Bergs#40ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:7
- 07/10/26LHynek Barton#277Challenger Villena · R326:7 3:6
- 01/10/26LJerome Kym#164Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WMackenzie McDonald#242Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:1
- 02/09/26LJiří Lehečka#15ATP US Open · R644:6 2:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WTomáš Macháč#69ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:3 6:2
- 27/08/26WCristian Garin#171ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:4 5:0
- 26/08/26WBilly Harris#232ATP US Open · Q24:6 6:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Lukas PokornyToby Samuel
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Pokorny | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–175% | 37–1079% |
| Clay | 6–650% | 7–558% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 5–550% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.