Montes-de la Torre vs Samuel: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 69%
Samuel: 8 matches in a row over 18.5 games
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Montes-de la Torre: 4 matches in a row winning the first set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: I. Montes-de la Torre 32% · T. Samuel 68%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 5,036 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| I. Montes-de la Torre | Tour | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 34% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.43 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/14 | 14/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 51 | 66 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Inaki Montes-de la Torre
- 04/10/26LHenrique Rocha#100Challenger Porto 2 · F6:2 4:6 4:6
- 03/10/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#190Challenger Porto 2 · SF6:2 6:3
- 02/10/26WHugo Grenier#403Challenger Porto 2 · QF6:2 7:6
- 01/10/26WJacob Fearnley#86Challenger Porto 2 · R167:6 3:0
- 30/09/26WLuca Potenza#564Challenger Porto 2 · R326:3 6:2
- 14/09/26LMurphy Cassone#282Challenger Rennes · R323:6 6:7
- 06/09/26LFelix Balshaw#178Challenger Manacor · F6:3 2:6 3:6
- 05/09/26WLuca Potenza#564Challenger Manacor · SF2:6 7:6 7:6
- 04/09/26WJack Pinnington Jones#188Challenger Manacor · QF3:6 6:3 3:0
- 03/09/26WDaniel Rincon#232Challenger Manacor · R166:2 6:4
Toby Samuel
- 20/10/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Brussels · R323:6 6:7
- 07/10/26LHynek Barton#275Challenger Villena · R326:7 3:6
- 01/10/26LJerome Kym#222Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WMackenzie McDonald#238Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:1
- 02/09/26LJiří Lehečka#21ATP US Open · R644:6 2:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WTomáš Macháč#71ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:3 6:2
- 27/08/26WCristian Garin#171ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:4 5:0
- 26/08/26WBilly Harris#252ATP US Open · Q24:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/08/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#174ATP US Open · Q16:7 6:3 6:1
- 29/07/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Vancouver · R164:6 5:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| I. Montes-de la Torre | T. Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–869% | 36–980% |
| Clay | 16–964% | 7–558% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 5–550% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.