Samuel vs Bergs 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Samuel 48% · Z. Bergs 52%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 31% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 62% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,928 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 22.5in · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Toby Samuel | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aces | 9 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 69% | First serves in | 74% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 80% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 61% |
| 0/4 | Break points converted | 1/4 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 11/11 |
| 67% | Service points won | 75% |
| 25% | Return points won | 33% |
| 58 | Total points won | 71 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Samuel | Tour | Z. Bergs | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 42% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 33% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.36 | 0.55 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.36 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/20 | 7/22 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 52% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Toby Samuel
- 07/10/26LHynek Barton#271Challenger Villena · R326:7 3:6
- 01/10/26LJerome Kym#223Challenger Porto 2 · R162:6 6:4 2:6
- 29/09/26WMackenzie McDonald#229Challenger Porto 2 · R327:5 6:1
- 02/09/26LJiří Lehečka#20ATP US Open · R644:6 2:6 4:6
- 30/08/26WTomáš Macháč#72ATP US Open · R1286:2 6:3 6:2
- 27/08/26WCristian Garin#151ATP US Open · Q34:6 6:4 5:0
- 26/08/26WBilly Harris#249ATP US Open · Q24:6 6:1 6:4
- 24/08/26WFrancesco Maestrelli#171ATP US Open · Q16:7 6:3 6:1
- 29/07/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Vancouver · R164:6 5:7
- 29/07/26WJack Pinnington Jones#191Challenger Vancouver · R327:5 6:1
Zizou Bergs
- 14/10/26LTommy Paul#15ATP Shanghai · R166:7 4:6
- 12/10/26WCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Shanghai · R327:5 7:6
- 10/10/26WIgnacio Buse#33ATP Shanghai · R646:0 6:3
- 08/10/26WVit Kopriva#66ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 6:1
- 30/09/26LJiří Lehečka#20ATP Tokyo · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 05/09/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#38ATP US Open · R326:3 6:7 6:4 6:7 3:6
- 03/09/26WJesper De Jong#102ATP US Open · R647:5 1:6 6:2 7:6
- 01/09/26WCarlos Taberner#447ATP US Open · R1286:3 3:6 6:2 6:2
- 21/08/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#133Challenger Quebec City · QF6:7 6:4 4:6
- 20/08/26WAndrea Pellegrino#144Challenger Quebec City · R166:3 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Samuel | Z. Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 36–882% | 11–1444% |
| Clay | 7–558% | 7–750% |
| Grass | 5–550% | 7–370% |
Head to head
T. Samuel 0–1 Z. Bergs
- 26/06/26Winner: Zizou Bergs6:4 6:7 2:6