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Challenger BrestChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets

Tabur vs Samuel 2:0: result and our tips

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Clement TaburATP #156Elo 1761hard 1767
2:0final7:6(4) 6:1
Toby SamuelATP #97Elo 1888hard 1887

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Tabur 16 of 20, Samuel 10 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A tie-break in recent matches: Tabur 10 of 20, Samuel 8 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Clement Tabur40%
Toby Samuel61%

Elo: C. Tabur 33% · T. Samuel 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Tabur23%
2:1 C. Tabur16%
2:1 T. Samuel21%
2:0 T. Samuel39%

First set

Clement Tabur42%
Toby Samuel58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,981 matches

Games handicap

T. Samuel −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Clement TaburToby Samuel
7Aces5
0Double faults1
77%First serves in69%
81%First-serve points won71%
77%Second-serve points won37%
2/6Break points converted0/3
10/10Service games held7/9
80%Service points won61%
39%Return points won20%
69Total points won48

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. TaburTourT. Samuel
Service points won65%62%64%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held81%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%33%
Aces per service game0.380.37
Double faults per game0.190.21
Sets with a tie-break21%13%
Tie-breaks won16/3714/21
Wins in straight sets51%78%
Matches in the sample7067

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Clement Tabur

Toby Samuel

Elo over the last year

Clement TaburToby Samuel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. TaburT. Samuel
Hard court21–1558%37–980%
Clay17–1259%7–558%
Grass3–260%5–550%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Clement Tabur

Toby Samuel

See also