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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Dodig vs Krajci: prediction and tips

·

Matej DodigATP #138Elo 1885hard 1771
-:-
Michal KrajciATP #756Elo 1483hard 1525

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Dodig 2-071%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Dodig won 2-0 in 9 of the last 20 matches, Krajci lost 0-2 in 5 of the last 7 matches (tour average 33%)

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: No75%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 77% → with the players' profiles 75%

    No tie-break in recent matches: Dodig 15 of 20, Krajci 7 of 7 (tour average 68%); Krajci: 7 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.541%

Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 41%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Dodig 9 of 20, Krajci 3 of 7 (tour average 29%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Matej Dodig90%
Michal Krajci10%

Elo: M. Dodig 80% · M. Krajci 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Dodig71%
2:1 M. Dodig18%
2:1 M. Krajci5%
2:0 M. Krajci6%

First set

Matej Dodig81%
Michal Krajci19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%88%
17.569%31%80%
18.559%41%71%
19.549%51%63%
20.541%59%54%
21.535%65%49%
22.529%71%42%

Sample: 1,623 matches

Games handicap

M. Dodig −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. DodigTourM. Krajci
Service points won65%62%59%
Return points won38%38%35%
Service games held81%76%70%
Breaks of serve24%24%19%
Aces per service game0.510.39
Double faults per game0.160.30
Sets with a tie-break14%0%
Tie-breaks won15/230/0
Wins in straight sets53%50%
Matches in the sample688

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Matej Dodig

Michal Krajci

Elo over the last year

Matej DodigMichal Krajci

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. DodigM. Krajci
Hard court9–950%2–250%
Clay35–1373%0–40%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Matej Dodig

First match in this tournament.

Michal Krajci