WTA 125 CaliRound of 16claybest of three sets
Ortenzi vs Andreescu: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 11mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Jazmin Ortenzi11%
Bianca Andreescu89%
Elo: J. Ortenzi 24% · B. Andreescu 77%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Ortenzi6%
2:1 J. Ortenzi6%
2:1 B. Andreescu16%
2:0 B. Andreescu72%
First set
Jazmin Ortenzi17%
Bianca Andreescu83%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no78%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 18.0 · 45%market (no margin): 51%
The 18.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 77% | 23% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 65% | 35% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 55% | 45% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 45% | 55% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 38% | 62% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 31% | 69% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 27% | 73% | 41% |
Sample: 662 matches
Games handicap
B. Andreescu −6.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes16%
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Ortenzi | Tour | B. Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 58% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 43% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.06 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/6 | 6/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 32 | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jazmin Ortenzi
- 03/11/26WElizabeth Mandlik#221WTA 125 Cali · R327:5 1:6 6:3
- 30/10/26LAlice Tubello#152WTA 125 Curitiba · QF6:2 2:6 3:6
- 28/10/26WLourdes Ayala#662WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:0 6:2
- 26/10/26WVictoria Bosio#315WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:2
- 14/10/26LPolona Hercog#201WTA 125 Lisbon · R163:6 6:3 3:6
- 12/10/26WBarbora Palicova#177WTA 125 Lisbon · R326:4 7:6
- 17/09/26LPaula Badosa#57WTA Sao Paulo · R166:4 2:6 2:6
- 16/09/26WChloe Paquet#333WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:2
- 09/09/26LMary Stoiana#114WTA 125 Barranquilla · R323:6 2:6
- 24/08/26LHimeno Sakatsume#129WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
Bianca Andreescu
- 03/11/26WTamara Zidansek#139WTA 125 Cali · R326:2 6:3
- 01/11/26WTatjana Maria#66WTA 125 Querétaro · F6:1 2:6 6:3
- 01/11/26WCarole Monnet#218WTA 125 Querétaro · SF6:3 7:5
- 31/10/26WAlicia Herrero Linana#224WTA 125 Querétaro · QF6:1 6:1
- 30/10/26WDiletta Cherubini#399WTA 125 Querétaro · R166:2 6:3
- 27/10/26WKatherine HuiWTA 125 Querétaro · R326:3 6:2
- 18/10/26WDominika Salkova#128WTA 125 Rovereto · F7:6 6:2
- 17/10/26WLucie Havlickova#185WTA 125 Rovereto · SF6:3 6:1
- 16/10/26WLucrezia Stefanini#117WTA 125 Rovereto · QF6:2 7:5
- 15/10/26WAntonia Ruzic#81WTA 125 Rovereto · R167:5 3:6 7:5
Elo over the last year
Jazmin OrtenziBianca Andreescu
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Ortenzi | B. Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–433% | 14–961% |
| Clay | 15–1060% | 10–567% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 3–260% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jazmin Ortenzi
- 03/11/26WElizabeth Mandlik#221WTA 125 Cali · R327:5 1:6 6:3
Bianca Andreescu
- 03/11/26WTamara Zidansek#139WTA 125 Cali · R326:2 6:3