WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 16claybest of three sets
Ayala vs Ortenzi: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 58mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Lourdes Ayala3%
Jazmin Ortenzi97%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Ayala2%
2:1 L. Ayala2%
2:1 J. Ortenzi10%
2:0 J. Ortenzi87%
First set
Lourdes Ayala7%
Jazmin Ortenzi93%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes12%
no88%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 16.0 · 45%market (no margin): 54%
The 16.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 17.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 82% | 18% | 97% |
| 14.5 | 70% | 30% | 93% |
| 15.5 | 57% | 43% | 86% |
| 16.5 | 45% | 55% | 78% |
| 17.5 | 33% | 67% | 69% |
| 18.5 | 25% | 75% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 20% | 80% | 52% |
Sample: 408 matches
Games handicap
J. Ortenzi −7.556%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes7%
tour average 20%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Ayala | Tour | J. Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | — | 56% | 53% |
| Return points won | — | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | — | 63% | 56% |
| Breaks of serve | — | 37% | 45% |
| Aces per service game | — | 0.06 | |
| Double faults per game | — | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | — | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | — | 4/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | — | 31 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lourdes Ayala
- 26/10/26WLuiza Fullana#468WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:4 7:6
- 25/10/26WGeorgia GulinWTA 125 Curitiba · Q17:6 6:3
Jazmin Ortenzi
- 26/10/26WVictoria Bosio#316WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:2
- 14/10/26LPolona Hercog#206WTA 125 Lisbon · R163:6 6:3 3:6
- 12/10/26WBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Lisbon · R326:4 7:6
- 17/09/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA Sao Paulo · R166:4 2:6 2:6
- 16/09/26WChloe Paquet#312WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:2
- 09/09/26LMary Stoiana#113WTA 125 Barranquilla · R323:6 2:6
- 24/08/26LHimeno Sakatsume#114WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
- 23/06/26LKatherine Sebov#230WTA Wimbledon · Q16:4 3:6 2:6
- 18/06/26LElizara Yaneva#139WTA 125 Brescia · R162:6 1:6
- 16/06/26WFrancesca Pace#279WTA 125 Brescia · R326:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Lourdes AyalaJazmin Ortenzi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Ayala | J. Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 2–433% |
| Clay | 2–0100% | 14–1058% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Lourdes Ayala
- 25/10/26WGeorgia GulinWTA 125 Curitiba · Q17:6 6:3
- 26/10/26WLuiza Fullana#468WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:4 7:6
Jazmin Ortenzi
- 26/10/26WVictoria Bosio#316WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:2