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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 16claybest of three sets

Cherubini vs Andreescu 0:2: result and our tips

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Diletta CherubiniWTA #399Elo 1443clay 1450
0:2final2:6 3:6
Bianca AndreescuWTA #109Elo 1799clay 1747

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Diletta Cherubini4%
Bianca Andreescu96%

Elo: D. Cherubini 15% · B. Andreescu 85%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Cherubini2%
2:1 D. Cherubini2%
2:1 B. Andreescu11%
2:0 B. Andreescu86%

First set

Diletta Cherubini8%
Bianca Andreescu92%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes13%
no87%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 16.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
13.584%16%97%
14.573%27%93%
15.560%40%86%
16.548%52%78%
17.537%64%69%
18.528%72%60%
19.523%78%52%

Sample: 465 matches

Games handicap

B. Andreescu −7.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes8%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 16.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Diletta CherubiniBianca Andreescu
2Aces1
6Double faults0
52%First serves in67%
61%First-serve points won71%
45%Second-serve points won94%
0/0Break points converted3/10
5/8Service games held9/9
53%Service points won80%
20%Return points won47%
42Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. CherubiniTourB. Andreescu
Service points won52%56%58%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held57%63%69%
Breaks of serve37%37%35%
Aces per service game0.110.34
Double faults per game0.300.29
Sets with a tie-break17%10%
Tie-breaks won2/56/9
Wins in straight sets60%68%
Matches in the sample1338

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Diletta Cherubini

Bianca Andreescu

Elo over the last year

Diletta CherubiniBianca Andreescu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. CherubiniB. Andreescu
Hard court0–10%14–961%
Clay5–742%5–550%
Grass0–03–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Diletta Cherubini

Bianca Andreescu