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WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Reasco Gonzalez vs Cherubini 0:2: result and our tips

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Mell Elizabeth Reasco GonzalezWTA #355Elo 1369clay 1394
0:2final4:6 2:6
Diletta CherubiniWTA #397Elo 1415clay 1420

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez54%
Diletta Cherubini46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Reasco Gonzalez33%
2:1 M. Reasco Gonzalez21%
2:1 D. Cherubini18%
2:0 D. Cherubini28%

First set

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez51%
Diletta Cherubini49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%42%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.548%52%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,446 matches

Games handicap

M. Reasco Gonzalez −1.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mell Elizabeth Reasco GonzalezDiletta Cherubini
—Aces—
5Double faults4
79%First serves in64%
47%First-serve points won64%
39%Second-serve points won40%
3/5Break points converted6/11
3/9Service games held6/9
45%Service points won55%
45%Return points won55%
53Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Reasco GonzalezTourD. Cherubini
Service points won57%56%52%
Return points won41%44%44%
Service games held65%63%56%
Breaks of serve29%37%35%
Aces per service game0.180.11
Double faults per game0.260.29
Sets with a tie-break0%18%
Tie-breaks won0/02/5
Wins in straight sets0%50%
Matches in the sample412

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Diletta Cherubini

  • 14/09/26LAran Teixido Garcia#351WTA 125 Valencia · Q24:6 0:6
  • 13/09/26WIsabella Shinikova#430WTA 125 Valencia · Q14:6 6:4 6:4
  • 12/07/26LGina Feistel#323WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · Q12:6 2:6
  • 14/06/26LTatiana Pieri#477WTA 125 Brescia · Q11:6 7:6 3:6
  • 16/05/26LVera Zvonareva#280WTA Rabat · Q11:6 0:6
  • 30/04/26LHanyu Guo#188WTA 125 Huzhou · R166:7 0:6
  • 28/04/26WEkaterina Reyngold#743WTA 125 Huzhou · R326:4 6:3
  • 03/02/26LDarja Semenistaja#175WTA 125 Mumbai · R323:6 1:6
  • 02/12/25LPanna Udvardy#78WTA 125 Quito · R326:7 2:6
  • 01/12/25WMonica GallegosWTA 125 Quito · Q16:0 6:0

Elo over the last year

Mell Elizabeth Reasco GonzalezDiletta Cherubini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Reasco GonzalezD. Cherubini
Hard court0–10%0–10%
Clay1–233%4–736%

Head to head

They have not met yet.