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WTA 125 QuerétaroQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying

Herrero Linana vs Andreescu 0:2: result and our tips

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Alicia Herrero LinanaWTA #224Elo 1709clay 1717
0:2final1:6 1:6
Bianca AndreescuWTA #109Elo 1803clay 1754

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: AndreescuWon72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Andreescu: 7 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: AndreescuWon78%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 78%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreescu won 9 of the last 10 matches; Andreescu: 7 wins in a row

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreescu: 5 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alicia Herrero Linana22%
Bianca Andreescu78%

Elo: A. Herrero Linana 45% · B. Andreescu 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Herrero Linana10%
2:1 A. Herrero Linana10%
2:1 B. Andreescu21%
2:0 B. Andreescu58%

First set

Alicia Herrero Linana28%
Bianca Andreescu72%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%77%
17.568%32%68%
18.557%43%59%
19.549%51%52%
20.543%58%45%
21.540%60%41%
22.535%65%37%

Sample: 1,066 matches

Games handicap

B. Andreescu −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Alicia Herrero LinanaBianca Andreescu
0Aces1
4Double faults2
68%First serves in67%
50%First-serve points won85%
33%Second-serve points won62%
0/0Break points converted5/7
2/7Service games held7/7
45%Service points won77%
23%Return points won55%
30Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Herrero LinanaTourB. Andreescu
Service points won56%56%58%
Return points won49%44%44%
Service games held65%63%70%
Breaks of serve46%37%35%
Aces per service game0.080.33
Double faults per game0.210.29
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won4/86/9
Wins in straight sets73%70%
Matches in the sample2439

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alicia Herrero Linana

Bianca Andreescu

Elo over the last year

Alicia Herrero LinanaBianca Andreescu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Herrero LinanaB. Andreescu
Hard court0–014–961%
Clay15–963%6–555%
Grass0–03–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alicia Herrero Linana

Bianca Andreescu