WTA 125 CuritibaQuarterfinalclaybest of three setsqualifying
Tubello vs Ortenzi 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Alice Tubello62%
Jazmin Ortenzi38%
Elo: A. Tubello 46% · J. Ortenzi 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Tubello36%
2:1 A. Tubello22%
2:1 J. Ortenzi17%
2:0 J. Ortenzi25%
First set
Alice Tubello54%
Jazmin Ortenzi46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 33% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 31% |
Sample: 1,516 matches
Games handicap
A. Tubello −2.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes23%
tour average 20%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.0in · 25 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Alice Tubello | Jazmin Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 0 | Double faults | 7 |
| 83% | First serves in | 71% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 54% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 5/14 | Break points converted | 4/6 |
| 9/13 | Service games held | 7/12 |
| 57% | Service points won | 52% |
| 48% | Return points won | 43% |
| 89 | Total points won | 81 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Tubello | Tour | J. Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 53% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 59% | 63% | 57% |
| Breaks of serve | 40% | 37% | 44% |
| Aces per service game | 0.08 | 0.06 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 5% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/3 | 4/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 23 | 31 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alice Tubello
- 28/10/26WLuna Maria Cinalli#579WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:4 6:3
- 26/10/26WLaura Samson#116WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:0 6:4
- 24/09/26LJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Tolentino · R166:3 3:6 4:6
- 22/09/26WDalila Spiteri#368WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:2 6:2
- 18/09/26LSamira de Stefano#186WTA 125 Ljubljana · QF6:4 6:7 4:6
- 16/09/26WDalma Galfi#155WTA 125 Ljubljana · R166:3 6:4
- 15/09/26WVivian Wolff#248WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:4 6:3
- 08/09/26LBarbora Palicova#177WTA 125 Montreux · R326:3 4:6 1:6
- 25/08/26LPriscilla Hon#292WTA US Open · Q14:6 6:4 2:6
- 10/07/26LLeolia Jeanjean#91WTA 125 Contrexeville · QF6:3 3:6 4:6
Jazmin Ortenzi
- 28/10/26WLourdes Ayala#662WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:0 6:2
- 26/10/26WVictoria Bosio#315WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:2
- 14/10/26LPolona Hercog#201WTA 125 Lisbon · R163:6 6:3 3:6
- 12/10/26WBarbora Palicova#177WTA 125 Lisbon · R326:4 7:6
- 17/09/26LPaula Badosa#57WTA Sao Paulo · R166:4 2:6 2:6
- 16/09/26WChloe Paquet#333WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:2
- 09/09/26LMary Stoiana#114WTA 125 Barranquilla · R323:6 2:6
- 24/08/26LHimeno Sakatsume#129WTA US Open · Q13:6 1:6
- 23/06/26LKatherine Sebov#222WTA Wimbledon · Q16:4 3:6 2:6
- 18/06/26LElizara Yaneva#138WTA 125 Brescia · R162:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Alice TubelloJazmin Ortenzi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Tubello | J. Ortenzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–20% | 2–433% |
| Clay | 10–1050% | 14–1058% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alice Tubello
- 26/10/26WLaura Samson#116WTA 125 Curitiba · R326:0 6:4
- 28/10/26WLuna Maria Cinalli#579WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:4 6:3
Jazmin Ortenzi
- 26/10/26WVictoria Bosio#315WTA 125 Curitiba · R327:5 6:2
- 28/10/26WLourdes Ayala#662WTA 125 Curitiba · R166:0 6:2
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