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Challenger Villa MariaChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Aguilar Cardozo vs Ficovich: prediction and tips

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Joaquin Aguilar CardozoATP #288Elo 1803clay 1812
-:-
Juan Pablo FicovichATP #370Elo 1511clay 1528

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Aguilar Cardozo66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Aguilar Cardozo won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Ficovich lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%); Aguilar Cardozo: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Aguilar Cardozo72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 72%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Aguilar Cardozo won 8 of the last 10 matches; Ficovich lost 8 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 21.556%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 56%

    Ficovich: 6 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Long shot
Set Betting: Aguilar Cardozo 2-049%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Aguilar Cardozo won 2-0 in 11 of the last 20 matches, Ficovich lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo73%
Juan Pablo Ficovich27%

Elo: J. Aguilar Cardozo 84% · J. Ficovich 16%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo49%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo23%
2:1 J. Ficovich13%
2:0 J. Ficovich15%

First set

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo67%
Juan Pablo Ficovich33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%27%76%
18.565%36%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.551%50%52%
21.544%56%46%
22.539%61%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,542 matches

Games handicap

J. Aguilar Cardozo −4.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Aguilar CardozoTourJ. Ficovich
Service points won59%62%61%
Return points won44%38%38%
Service games held71%76%72%
Breaks of serve38%24%26%
Aces per service game0.120.38
Double faults per game0.230.21
Sets with a tie-break14%13%
Tie-breaks won5/134/13
Wins in straight sets64%60%
Matches in the sample3841

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Elo over the last year

Joaquin Aguilar CardozoJuan Pablo Ficovich

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Aguilar CardozoJ. Ficovich
Hard court0–07–1139%
Clay25–1464%7–1139%
Grass0–01–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.