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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Semifinalclaybest of three sets

Reis Da Silva vs Aguilar Cardozo 0:2: result and our tips

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Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaATP #177Elo 1761clay 1773
0:2final5:7 1:6
Joaquin Aguilar CardozoATP #288Elo 1777clay 1786

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 65%

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Reis Da Silva 15 of 20, Aguilar Cardozo 16 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 41%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Reis Da Silva 12 of 20, Aguilar Cardozo 10 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva49%
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo51%

Elo: J. Reis Da Silva 48% · J. Aguilar Cardozo 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Reis Da Silva30%
2:1 J. Reis Da Silva19%
2:1 J. Aguilar Cardozo20%
2:0 J. Aguilar Cardozo32%

First set

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva49%
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%48%52%
21.546%54%46%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,382 matches

Games handicap

J. Aguilar Cardozo −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo
0Aces2
0Double faults2
67%First serves in68%
47%First-serve points won64%
38%Second-serve points won55%
2/8Break points converted6/7
4/10Service games held7/9
44%Service points won61%
39%Return points won56%
45Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. Reis Da SilvaTourJ. Aguilar Cardozo
Service points won62%62%59%
Return points won39%38%44%
Service games held75%76%71%
Breaks of serve25%24%38%
Aces per service game0.260.12
Double faults per game0.150.23
Sets with a tie-break11%15%
Tie-breaks won7/155/13
Wins in straight sets67%63%
Matches in the sample6136

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Elo over the last year

Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. Reis Da SilvaJ. Aguilar Cardozo
Hard court0–20%0–0
Clay33–2557%24–1365%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

Upcoming matches

See also