WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Valentova vs Eala: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 19h 39mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Tereza Valentova38%
Alexandra Eala62%
Elo: T. Valentova 40% · A. Eala 60%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Valentova24%
2:1 T. Valentova17%
2:1 A. Eala22%
2:0 A. Eala38%
First set
Tereza Valentova43%
Alexandra Eala57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 58% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,462 matches
Games handicap
A. Eala −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Valentova | Tour | A. Eala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 64% | 63% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 41% | 37% | 39% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.39 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 5% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/14 | 5/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 51 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Tereza Valentova
- 03/11/26WHimeno Sakatsume#129WTA Hong Kong · R326:3 7:5
- 27/10/26LMia Pohankova#119WTA Tokyo · R321:6 4:6
- 25/10/26WShuai Zhang#95WTA Tokyo · Q27:5 6:2
- 24/10/26WEn-Shuo Liang#330WTA Tokyo · Q16:2 3:6 6:2
- 21/10/26LLilli Tagger#53WTA Osaka · R165:7 3:6
- 20/10/26WShuai Zhang#95WTA Osaka · R326:2 1:6 6:4
- 29/08/26LKatie Volynets#78WTA 125 Philadelphia · F3:6 5:7
- 28/08/26WJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Philadelphia · SF6:3 6:1
- 27/08/26WKylie Collins#310WTA 125 Philadelphia · QF6:1 6:2
- 26/08/26WFangran Tian#269WTA 125 Philadelphia · R166:3 6:1
Alexandra Eala
- 03/11/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA Hong Kong · R326:4 6:3
- 30/10/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Tokyo · QF6:2 6:7 4:6
- 28/10/26WTalia Gibson#36WTA Tokyo · R164:6 6:2 6:0
- 26/10/26WMika Stojsavljevic#411WTA Tokyo · R326:1 6:2
- 22/10/26LDiana Shnaider#11WTA Ningbo · R165:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WDiane Parry#34WTA Ningbo · R326:3 6:1
- 12/10/26LHan Shi#148WTA Wuhan · R646:4 3:6 3:6
- 24/09/26LTatiana Prozorova#124WTA Singapore · R166:4 5:7 3:6
- 05/09/26LIva Jovic#13WTA US Open · R325:7 6:3 5:7
- 03/09/26WOleksandra Oliynykova#62WTA US Open · R646:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Tereza ValentovaAlexandra Eala
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Valentova | A. Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1462% | 28–1565% |
| Clay | 5–456% | 4–640% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 12–475% |
Head to head
T. Valentova 2–0 A. Eala
- 09/02/26Winner: T. Valentova7:6 6:1
- 14/10/25Winner: T. Valentova6:1 6:2
Road through the tournament
Tereza Valentova
- 03/11/26WHimeno Sakatsume#129WTA Hong Kong · R326:3 7:5
Alexandra Eala
- 03/11/26WEmerson Jones#132WTA Hong Kong · R326:4 6:3