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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sakatsume vs Valentova 0:2: result and our tips

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Himeno SakatsumeWTA #129Elo 1697hard 1689
0:2final3:6 5:7
Tereza ValentovaWTA #85Elo 1852hard 1841

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: ValentovaWon73%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Sakatsume lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Valentova won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: ValentovaWon79%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Valentova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Himeno Sakatsume21%
Tereza Valentova79%

Elo: H. Sakatsume 30% · T. Valentova 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Sakatsume11%
2:1 H. Sakatsume11%
2:1 T. Valentova22%
2:0 T. Valentova57%

First set

Himeno Sakatsume27%
Tereza Valentova73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%82%
17.569%31%72%
18.561%40%64%
19.553%47%56%
20.546%54%49%
21.542%58%44%
22.536%64%38%

Sample: 1,490 matches

Games handicap

T. Valentova −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Himeno SakatsumeTereza Valentova
0Aces1
3Double faults6
68%First serves in69%
49%First-serve points won60%
30%Second-serve points won27%
5/9Break points converted8/12
3/11Service games held5/10
43%Service points won50%
50%Return points won57%
66Total points won76

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. SakatsumeTourT. Valentova
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won44%44%46%
Service games held66%63%64%
Breaks of serve37%37%40%
Aces per service game0.180.23
Double faults per game0.200.39
Sets with a tie-break6%12%
Tie-breaks won4/77/14
Wins in straight sets68%62%
Matches in the sample5050

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Himeno Sakatsume

Tereza Valentova

  • 27/10/26LMia Pohankova#119WTA Tokyo · R321:6 4:6
  • 25/10/26WShuai Zhang#95WTA Tokyo · Q27:5 6:2
  • 24/10/26WEn-Shuo Liang#330WTA Tokyo · Q16:2 3:6 6:2
  • 21/10/26LLilli Tagger#53WTA Osaka · R165:7 3:6
  • 20/10/26WShuai Zhang#95WTA Osaka · R326:2 1:6 6:4
  • 29/08/26LKatie Volynets#78WTA 125 Philadelphia · F3:6 5:7
  • 28/08/26WJulia Grabher#112WTA 125 Philadelphia · SF6:3 6:1
  • 27/08/26WKylie Collins#310WTA 125 Philadelphia · QF6:1 6:2
  • 26/08/26WFangran Tian#269WTA 125 Philadelphia · R166:3 6:1
  • 24/08/26WAriana Arseneault#337WTA 125 Philadelphia · R327:6 6:1

Elo over the last year

Himeno SakatsumeTereza Valentova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. SakatsumeT. Valentova
Hard court24–1660%22–1461%
Clay2–250%5–456%
Grass2–433%2–340%

Head to head

H. Sakatsume 0–1 T. Valentova

  • 19/07/25Winner: T. Valentova6:7 1:6

Road through the tournament

Himeno Sakatsume

Tereza Valentova

First match in this tournament.

See also