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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sakatsume vs Pridankina 2:1: result and our tips

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Himeno SakatsumeWTA #129Elo 1676hard 1670
2:1final5:7 6:2 6:2
Elena PridankinaWTA #206Elo 1670hard 1641

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Himeno Sakatsume51%
Elena Pridankina49%

Elo: H. Sakatsume 54% · E. Pridankina 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Sakatsume31%
2:1 H. Sakatsume19%
2:1 E. Pridankina19%
2:0 E. Pridankina31%

First set

Himeno Sakatsume50%
Elena Pridankina50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,333 matches

Games handicap

H. Sakatsume −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Himeno SakatsumeElena Pridankina
2Aces3
0Double faults1
76%First serves in77%
63%First-serve points won59%
44%Second-serve points won37%
7/10Break points converted4/12
10/14Service games held7/14
58%Service points won54%
46%Return points won42%
94Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. SakatsumeTourE. Pridankina
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won44%44%47%
Service games held66%63%60%
Breaks of serve37%37%46%
Aces per service game0.180.17
Double faults per game0.200.51
Sets with a tie-break6%8%
Tie-breaks won4/73/8
Wins in straight sets70%77%
Matches in the sample4945

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Himeno Sakatsume

Elena Pridankina

Elo over the last year

Himeno SakatsumeElena Pridankina

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. SakatsumeE. Pridankina
Hard court23–1659%9–756%
Clay2–250%15–1060%
Grass2–433%2–250%

Head to head

H. Sakatsume 0–1 E. Pridankina

  • 21/05/26Winner: E. Pridankina2:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Himeno Sakatsume

Elena Pridankina