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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Pridankina vs Gorgodze 2:1: result and our tips

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Elena PridankinaWTA #190Elo 1654hard 1623
2:1final6:1 4:6 6:1
Ekaterine GorgodzeWTA #180Elo 1579hard 1543

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: PridankinaWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pridankina won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Gorgodze lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Gorgodze: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gorgodze: 5 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Pridankina 7 of 20, Gorgodze 13 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elena Pridankina72%
Ekaterine Gorgodze29%

Elo: E. Pridankina 61% · E. Gorgodze 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Pridankina49%
2:1 E. Pridankina21%
2:1 E. Gorgodze14%
2:0 E. Gorgodze16%

First set

Elena Pridankina67%
Ekaterine Gorgodze33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,895 matches

Games handicap

E. Pridankina −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Elena PridankinaEkaterine Gorgodze
3Aces1
1Double faults1
75%First serves in77%
59%First-serve points won41%
53%Second-serve points won44%
8/9Break points converted4/5
8/12Service games held4/12
57%Service points won41%
59%Return points won43%
85Total points won62

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. PridankinaTourE. Gorgodze
Service points won55%56%52%
Return points won47%44%44%
Service games held60%63%54%
Breaks of serve45%37%39%
Aces per service game0.170.09
Double faults per game0.520.15
Sets with a tie-break8%15%
Tie-breaks won3/813/16
Wins in straight sets80%45%
Matches in the sample4445

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elena Pridankina

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Elo over the last year

Elena PridankinaEkaterine Gorgodze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. PridankinaE. Gorgodze
Hard court8–753%6–746%
Clay15–1060%13–1645%
Grass2–250%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also