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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Prozorova vs Gorgodze 2:1: result and our tips

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Tatiana ProzorovaWTA #123Elo 1770hard 1757
2:1final6:3 5:7 6:3
Ekaterine GorgodzeWTA #180Elo 1588hard 1554

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Prozorova 18 of 20, Gorgodze 17 of 20 (tour average 72%); Prozorova: 8 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 8 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Prozorova 12 of 20, Gorgodze 13 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tatiana Prozorova82%
Ekaterine Gorgodze18%

Elo: T. Prozorova 76% · E. Gorgodze 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Prozorova61%
2:1 T. Prozorova22%
2:1 E. Gorgodze9%
2:0 E. Gorgodze9%

First set

Tatiana Prozorova76%
Ekaterine Gorgodze25%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.578%22%82%
17.567%33%72%
18.557%43%64%
19.549%51%56%
20.542%58%49%
21.539%61%44%
22.534%66%38%

Sample: 1,293 matches

Games handicap

T. Prozorova −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tatiana ProzorovaEkaterine Gorgodze
3Aces2
1Double faults3
64%First serves in78%
80%First-serve points won60%
61%Second-serve points won48%
4/9Break points converted2/4
13/15Service games held11/15
73%Service points won57%
43%Return points won27%
104Total points won85

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ProzorovaTourE. Gorgodze
Service points won59%56%52%
Return points won45%44%45%
Service games held66%63%53%
Breaks of serve42%37%40%
Aces per service game0.190.09
Double faults per game0.230.14
Sets with a tie-break7%16%
Tie-breaks won2/613/17
Wins in straight sets64%45%
Matches in the sample3645

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tatiana Prozorova

Ekaterine Gorgodze

Elo over the last year

Tatiana ProzorovaEkaterine Gorgodze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ProzorovaE. Gorgodze
Hard court18–1064%6–650%
Clay1–233%13–1743%
Grass3–260%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also