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WTA TokyoWTA 500Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Eala vs Shnaider 1:2: result and our tips

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Alexandra EalaWTA #19Elo 1979hard 1935
1:2final6:2 6:7(5) 4:6
Diana ShnaiderWTA #13Elo 2048hard 2025

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shnaider: 7 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexandra Eala47%
Diana Shnaider53%

Elo: A. Eala 37% · D. Shnaider 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Eala30%
2:1 A. Eala19%
2:1 D. Shnaider19%
2:0 D. Shnaider32%

First set

Alexandra Eala49%
Diana Shnaider51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,356 matches

Games handicap

D. Shnaider −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 31 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Alexandra EalaDiana Shnaider
2Aces5
7Double faults1
68%First serves in70%
71%First-serve points won72%
53%Second-serve points won53%
2/10Break points converted1/9
14/15Service games held13/15
62%Service points won63%
37%Return points won38%
116Total points won116

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. EalaTourD. Shnaider
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won45%44%45%
Service games held68%63%71%
Breaks of serve39%37%37%
Aces per service game0.140.13
Double faults per game0.250.30
Sets with a tie-break4%13%
Tie-breaks won5/79/17
Wins in straight sets63%72%
Matches in the sample6858

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexandra Eala

Diana Shnaider

Elo over the last year

Alexandra EalaDiana Shnaider

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. EalaD. Shnaider
Hard court27–1564%25–1464%
Clay4–640%10–567%
Grass12–475%1–325%

Head to head

A. Eala 0–1 D. Shnaider

  • 22/10/26Winner: D. Shnaider5:7 4:6

Road through the tournament

Alexandra Eala

Diana Shnaider