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WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Eala vs Gibson: prediction and tips

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Alexandra EalaWTA #19Elo 1971hard 1923
-:-awaiting result
Talia GibsonWTA #38Elo 1784hard 1789

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Eala68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Eala won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Gibson lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 25.571%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Gibson: 8 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.534%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gibson: 3 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexandra Eala73%
Talia Gibson27%

Elo: A. Eala 68% · T. Gibson 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Eala50%
2:1 A. Eala21%
2:1 T. Gibson13%
2:0 T. Gibson15%

First set

Alexandra Eala68%
Talia Gibson32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.566%34%64%
19.558%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,825 matches

Games handicap

A. Eala −4.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. EalaTourT. Gibson
Service points won58%56%58%
Return points won45%44%42%
Service games held68%63%67%
Breaks of serve39%37%32%
Aces per service game0.130.44
Double faults per game0.260.42
Sets with a tie-break5%12%
Tie-breaks won5/79/14
Wins in straight sets63%65%
Matches in the sample6851

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexandra Eala

Talia Gibson

Elo over the last year

Alexandra EalaTalia Gibson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. EalaT. Gibson
Hard court27–1564%21–1460%
Clay4–640%3–633%
Grass12–475%2–529%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alexandra Eala

Talia Gibson