WTA OsakaWTA 250Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying
Gibson vs Krueger: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 23h 2mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Talia Gibson41%
Ashlyn Krueger59%
Elo: T. Gibson 42% · A. Krueger 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Gibson26%
2:1 T. Gibson17%
2:1 A. Krueger21%
2:0 A. Krueger35%
First set
Talia Gibson46%
Ashlyn Krueger54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 2,445 matches
Games handicap
Ashlyn Krueger −1.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Gibson | Tour | A. Krueger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 59% |
| Return points won | 42% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 37% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.43 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/15 | 7/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Talia Gibson
- 21/10/26WSinja Kraus#76WTA Osaka · R166:2 6:1
- 19/10/26WHarriet Dart#117WTA Osaka · R327:5 7:6
- 10/10/26LSara Sorribes Tormo#170WTA Wuhan · Q15:7 0:6
- 30/09/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#122WTA Beijing · R1281:6 4:6
- 27/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#30WTA Singapore · F5:7 0:6
- 25/09/26WMaria Sakkari#31WTA Singapore · QF6:1 4:6 6:2
- 24/09/26WViktoria Morvayova#285WTA Singapore · R167:6 7:6
- 21/09/26WFiona Ferro#100WTA Singapore · R326:3 6:3
- 30/08/26LDonna Vekic#36WTA US Open · R1282:6 6:4 3:6
- 24/08/26LLizette Cabrera#313WTA 125 Philadelphia · R325:7 7:6 4:6
Ashlyn Krueger
- 21/10/26WLanlana Tararudee#53WTA Osaka · R166:3 6:1
- 19/10/26WJanice Tjen#46WTA Osaka · R326:4 6:4
- 15/10/26LIga Świątek#9WTA Wuhan · R161:6 4:6
- 14/10/26WLanlana Tararudee#53WTA Wuhan · R322:6 6:1 6:1
- 13/10/26WShuai Zhang#85WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:0
- 11/10/26LYulia Putintseva#66WTA Wuhan · Q21:6 3:6
- 10/10/26WTaylah Preston#87WTA Wuhan · Q16:3 7:6
- 03/10/26LAnn Li#25WTA Beijing · R644:6 2:6
- 01/10/26WSofia Kenin#126WTA Beijing · R1286:3 6:3
- 31/08/26LAmanda Anisimova#18WTA US Open · R1281:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Talia GibsonAshlyn Krueger
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Gibson | A. Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1459% | 14–1548% |
| Clay | 3–633% | 5–550% |
| Grass | 2–529% | 16–289% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Talia Gibson
- 19/10/26WHarriet Dart#117WTA Osaka · R327:5 7:6
- 21/10/26WSinja Kraus#76WTA Osaka · R166:2 6:1
Ashlyn Krueger
- 19/10/26WJanice Tjen#46WTA Osaka · R326:4 6:4
- 21/10/26WLanlana Tararudee#53WTA Osaka · R166:3 6:1