WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Tararudee vs Krueger 0:2: result and our tips

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Lanlana TararudeeWTA #53Elo 1830hard 1822
0:2final3:6 1:6
Ashlyn KruegerWTA #55Elo 1868hard 1822

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Krueger: 16 matches in a row under 25.5 games

Long shot
1st Set Winner: TararudeeLost46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Tararudee: 3 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lanlana Tararudee41%
Ashlyn Krueger59%

Elo: L. Tararudee 50% · A. Krueger 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Tararudee27%
2:1 L. Tararudee17%
2:1 A. Krueger21%
2:0 A. Krueger35%

First set

Lanlana Tararudee46%
Ashlyn Krueger54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,442 matches

Games handicap

Ashlyn Krueger −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lanlana TararudeeAshlyn Krueger
0Aces1
2Double faults4
58%First serves in66%
46%First-serve points won63%
32%Second-serve points won41%
2/9Break points converted6/9
2/8Service games held6/8
40%Service points won55%
45%Return points won60%
47Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. TararudeeTourA. Krueger
Service points won59%56%59%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held69%63%70%
Breaks of serve39%37%35%
Aces per service game0.380.42
Double faults per game0.350.41
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won10/197/13
Wins in straight sets63%65%
Matches in the sample6056

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lanlana Tararudee

Ashlyn Krueger

Elo over the last year

Lanlana TararudeeAshlyn Krueger

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. TararudeeA. Krueger
Hard court38–1572%13–1546%
Clay0–10%5–550%
Grass2–433%16–289%

Head to head

L. Tararudee 0–1 A. Krueger

  • 14/10/26Winner: Ashlyn Krueger6:2 1:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Lanlana Tararudee

Ashlyn Krueger