WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Gibson vs Dart 2:0: result and our tips

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Talia GibsonWTA #42Elo 1734hard 1744
2:0final7:5 7:6(6)
Harriet DartWTA #117Elo 1689hard 1702

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Talia Gibson56%
Harriet Dart44%

Elo: T. Gibson 56% · H. Dart 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Gibson34%
2:1 T. Gibson20%
2:1 H. Dart18%
2:0 H. Dart28%

First set

Talia Gibson52%
Harriet Dart48%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,405 matches

Games handicap

Talia Gibson −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Talia GibsonHarriet Dart
7Aces2
2Double faults1
70%First serves in81%
62%First-serve points won56%
56%Second-serve points won64%
5/9Break points converted4/5
8/12Service games held7/12
61%Service points won57%
43%Return points won40%
77Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. GibsonTourH. Dart
Service points won58%56%55%
Return points won41%44%47%
Service games held67%63%59%
Breaks of serve31%37%45%
Aces per service game0.420.20
Double faults per game0.420.42
Sets with a tie-break12%6%
Tie-breaks won9/141/5
Wins in straight sets61%35%
Matches in the sample4930

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Talia Gibson

Harriet Dart

Elo over the last year

Talia GibsonHarriet Dart

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. GibsonH. Dart
Hard court18–1555%15–768%
Clay3–633%1–150%
Grass2–529%1–517%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Talia Gibson

First match in this tournament.

Harriet Dart