WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Gibson vs Kraus 2:0: result and our tips

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Talia GibsonWTA #42Elo 1752hard 1763
2:0final6:2 6:1
Sinja KrausWTA #76Elo 1805hard 1765

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Talia Gibson59%
Sinja Kraus42%

Elo: T. Gibson 50% · S. Kraus 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Gibson35%
2:1 T. Gibson21%
2:1 S. Kraus17%
2:0 S. Kraus27%

First set

Talia Gibson54%
Sinja Kraus46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,441 matches

Games handicap

Talia Gibson −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Talia GibsonSinja Kraus
7Aces2
1Double faults4
67%First serves in67%
73%First-serve points won51%
73%Second-serve points won47%
4/14Break points converted0/3
8/8Service games held3/7
73%Service points won50%
50%Return points won27%
62Total points won41

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. GibsonTourS. Kraus
Service points won58%56%55%
Return points won42%44%48%
Service games held67%63%60%
Breaks of serve31%37%47%
Aces per service game0.420.13
Double faults per game0.420.31
Sets with a tie-break13%8%
Tie-breaks won10/157/13
Wins in straight sets63%66%
Matches in the sample4976

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Talia Gibson

Sinja Kraus

Elo over the last year

Talia GibsonSinja Kraus

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. GibsonS. Kraus
Hard court19–1458%21–1460%
Clay3–633%26–876%
Grass2–529%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Talia Gibson

Sinja Kraus