WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

McNally vs Kraus 0:1: result and our tips

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Caty McNallyWTA #59Elo 1888hard 1829
0:1retired4:6 1:3
Sinja KrausWTA #76Elo 1805hard 1765

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.567%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: McNally 16 of 20, Kraus 13 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.533%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

McNally: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Caty McNally70%
Sinja Kraus30%

Elo: C. McNally 59% · S. Kraus 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. McNally47%
2:1 C. McNally21%
2:1 S. Kraus14%
2:0 S. Kraus17%

First set

Caty McNally66%
Sinja Kraus34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 1,944 matches

Games handicap

Caty McNally −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

Match stats

Caty McNallySinja Kraus
1Aces3
0Double faults3
80%First serves in71%
51%First-serve points won66%
33%Second-serve points won46%
2/5Break points converted4/8
3/7Service games held5/7
48%Service points won60%
40%Return points won52%
40Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. McNallyTourS. Kraus
Service points won56%56%55%
Return points won45%44%48%
Service games held65%63%60%
Breaks of serve38%37%47%
Aces per service game0.150.13
Double faults per game0.340.32
Sets with a tie-break10%8%
Tie-breaks won9/147/13
Wins in straight sets58%68%
Matches in the sample5576

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Caty McNally

Sinja Kraus

Elo over the last year

Caty McNallySinja Kraus

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. McNallyS. Kraus
Hard court19–1556%20–1459%
Clay6–555%27–877%
Grass6–460%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Caty McNally

First match in this tournament.

Sinja Kraus