WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kraus vs Kenin 2:0: result and our tips

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Sinja KrausWTA #76Elo 1791hard 1748
2:0final7:6(4) 6:4
Sofia KeninWTA #126Elo 1717hard 1691

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sinja Kraus47%
Sofia Kenin53%

Elo: S. Kraus 58% · S. Kenin 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Kraus30%
2:1 S. Kraus19%
2:1 S. Kenin19%
2:0 S. Kenin32%

First set

Sinja Kraus49%
Sofia Kenin51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,301 matches

Games handicap

Sofia Kenin −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Sinja KrausSofia Kenin
6Aces2
3Double faults2
61%First serves in79%
70%First-serve points won54%
47%Second-serve points won50%
5/13Break points converted4/10
7/11Service games held6/11
61%Service points won53%
47%Return points won40%
82Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. KrausTourS. Kenin
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won48%44%40%
Service games held60%63%65%
Breaks of serve47%37%27%
Aces per service game0.130.15
Double faults per game0.320.41
Sets with a tie-break7%12%
Tie-breaks won6/125/11
Wins in straight sets67%55%
Matches in the sample7537

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sinja Kraus

Sofia Kenin

Elo over the last year

Sinja KrausSofia Kenin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. KrausS. Kenin
Hard court19–1458%7–1729%
Clay27–877%2–529%
Grass3–443%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sinja Kraus

Sofia Kenin