Kasatkina vs Gibson 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Gibson: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kasatkina: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Kasatkina 53% · T. Gibson 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,367 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Daria Kasatkina | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 5 |
| 7 | Double faults | 1 |
| 63% | First serves in | 63% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 32% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 5/8 |
| 4/9 | Service games held | 8/9 |
| 49% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 51% |
| 54 | Total points won | 77 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Kasatkina | Tour | T. Gibson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Return points won | 48% | 44% | 42% |
| Service games held | 57% | 63% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 45% | 37% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.17 | 0.43 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.55 | 0.42 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/15 | 10/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Daria Kasatkina
- 25/10/26WKimberly Birrell#41WTA Tokyo · Q26:3 6:4
- 24/10/26WYexin Ma#194WTA Tokyo · Q16:2 6:2
- 19/10/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Ningbo · R324:6 2:6
- 13/10/26LJeļena Ostapenko#26WTA Wuhan · R641:6 1:6
- 11/10/26WSara Sorribes Tormo#167WTA Wuhan · Q22:6 6:2 6:1
- 10/10/26WViktorija Golubic#74WTA Wuhan · Q14:6 7:6 6:4
- 01/10/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA Beijing · R1286:4 6:7 4:6
- 21/09/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Singapore · R325:7 0:6
- 01/09/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA US Open · R1281:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LZeynep Sonmez#64WTA Cincinnati · R1286:2 6:7 3:6
Talia Gibson
- 23/10/26LAshlyn Krueger#44WTA Osaka · QF1:6 3:6
- 21/10/26WSinja Kraus#77WTA Osaka · R166:2 6:1
- 19/10/26WHarriet Dart#115WTA Osaka · R327:5 7:6
- 10/10/26LSara Sorribes Tormo#167WTA Wuhan · Q15:7 0:6
- 30/09/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#112WTA Beijing · R1281:6 4:6
- 27/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#23WTA Singapore · F5:7 0:6
- 25/09/26WMaria Sakkari#30WTA Singapore · QF6:1 4:6 6:2
- 24/09/26WViktoria Morvayova#274WTA Singapore · R167:6 7:6
- 21/09/26WFiona Ferro#99WTA Singapore · R326:3 6:3
- 30/08/26LDonna Vekic#36WTA US Open · R1282:6 6:4 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Kasatkina | T. Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–1346% | 20–1557% |
| Clay | 11–569% | 3–633% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 2–529% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Daria Kasatkina
- 24/10/26WYexin Ma#194WTA Tokyo · Q16:2 6:2
- 25/10/26WKimberly Birrell#41WTA Tokyo · Q26:3 6:4
Talia Gibson
First match in this tournament.